Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 7, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Side by Side 6.00 1 2-1
4 3 Miss Monarch Bay 2.50 1.3 2-1
8 7 Riley G 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 5 Sultry Kitten 12.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Report 4.00 3.2 6-1
9 8 Lisa’s Nonno 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Always Smiling 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 98 Beautiful Bolt 0.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Con Seal and Kerry 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Devil Moon 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mister Beams 12.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Castleknock 2.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Sanger 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Duty First 4.50 4 8-1
5 5 Tickle My Fancy 6.00 4.5 8-1
7 98 Awesome Rhythm 0.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Storming Machine 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Chandelier S.) – Chandelier S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chatalas 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Dua 3.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Gate to Paradise 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Autumn Chill 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Pacific Rose 20.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Laurent 2.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 Motet 50.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Scalable 5.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Pink Whitney 20.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Next Right Thing 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Speakeasy S.) – Speakeasy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dark Vintage (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Slider 2.50 1.7 3-1
10 10 April Vintage 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Mysticism 5.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Charge for Gold 15.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Lord Prancealot 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Tranche 6.00 5 9-1
8 8 Always On Cay 15.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Bear River 12.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Des Doigts 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Petesoldfashioned 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Stay On the Fence 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Red On Sunday 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Stolen Treasure 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Fact Or Fiction 20.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Halo Uncle 8.00 8 15-1
8 8 Jarama 10.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 Magic Spoon 6.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Wicked Facts 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lord Bullingdon 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Sand Bagger 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Rastaman Vibe 8.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Gorilla Boy 8.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Stay Hot 8.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Tribal 10.00 7 13-1
5 5 Guy Named Joe 15.00 7 13-1
13 13 Grogu 15.00 7.1 13-1
12 12 Coach Prime 6.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Ringtone 20.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Ready to Storm 20.00 10.8 20-1
2 2 Dealers Special 30.00 10.9 21-1
4 4 Andreadytorumble 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Ngannou 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Book Smart 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Relaxed Artist (IRE) 20.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Sai Con (FR) 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Curly Esa 20.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Elevado 5.00 2.4 4-1
11 11 Trusty Rusty 12.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Comradery (IRE) 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Chicknfingerfriday 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Brazenly 20.00 5 9-1
10 10 Egomania 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Bag’s Gold 3.00 SCRATCH
12 98 El Oro (FR) 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Rodeo Drive S.) – Rodeo Drive S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Didia (ARG) 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Turnerloose 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Anisette (GB) 2.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Neige Blanche (FR) 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Closing Remarks 4.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Symphony Perfect (IRE) 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Juncture (GB) 8.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Stoic Luna 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (American Pharoah S.) – American Pharoah S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Muth 1.00 1 2-1
5 5 Raging Torrent 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Wine Me Up 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Be You 4.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Next Level 4.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Rothschild 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 El Magnifico 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Indispensable 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kissed by Fire 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Alvina (FR) 8.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Miss Lizzy 12.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Secrets Told 3.50 2.2 4-1
9 9 Real Fire 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Ragtime Rose 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Hayley Levade 10.00 4 8-1
10 10 Just Nails 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Gem Mine 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Teen Drama 15.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Nu Pi Lambda 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.