Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 7, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Silver Magnatized 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Fish Mooney 5.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Milagre Do Sol 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Etheric 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Amazin Queen 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Indy Champagne 1.60 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Alicia’s Kid 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Tranquility Base 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Rockstar Ro 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Big Investment 3.50 4.2 8-1
9 9 Forester’s Turn 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Chancel 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Executive Sight 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Happymac 10.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Exceed 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Playmate 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Painted Glory 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Money Beets 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Financial Advice (FR) 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Mrs. C 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Sassiness 4.50 5.6 11-1
3 3 Flip Floppin Fast 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kantbackoff 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Tapping a Rhythm 20.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Ondine Lady 6.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Shaystown 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Haslemere 8.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Shameless Affair 10.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Hits Different 3.50 8.4 16-1
3 3 Moonbright 20.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Standing Strong 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Gavel Girl 10.00 10.7 20-1
8 8 Where’s Samnbailey 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Inudation 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 English Jubilee 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Candid Candace 8.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Sweet Charlize 10.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Sounds Practical 2.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Hot Dance 2.50 6.1 12-1
2 2 Dazzling Move 6.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Princess Jade 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Goodnightngodbless 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lunch With Bernie 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Vucchella 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Simply in Front 2.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 My Girl Della 4.00 2 4-1
9 9 Sleepwalker 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Stolen Valour 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Saccharine 20.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Everland 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Victorious Nyquist 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mr Nobility 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Town’s Warrior 4.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 The New Maybe 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Qu’ Appelle River 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Camilo 2.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Its Just Money 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Jaggersgotagun 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Giovannino 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 One True Gentleman 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Trilling Song 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Cherry Gardens 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Hurricane Gizmo 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Gunnawin 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 I’m Phantom 10.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Danzigqueen 12.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Beyond Reason 20.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Lookhowpretty 8.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Mason’s Music 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Spirit O’Tipperary 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Indiana Road 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Peace in Paradise 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Durham Cup S.) – Durham Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Treason 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Wolfie’s Dynaghost 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Artie’s Storm 20.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 War Court 30.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Novo Sol (BRZ) 20.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Algiers (IRE) 0.80 5.7 11-1
9 9 Avoman 30.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 U S Army Corps 50.00 SCRATCH
6 6 War Bomber (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gav’s Dream Girl 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Silver Sign 15.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Helluva Holiday 8.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Tamana 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Serenading Hall 4.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Telltale 6.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 No More Diamonds 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Lillz Hope 20.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Krypto Gains 12.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Mamma Katz 20.00 10.2 19-1
7 7 Silent Warning 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.