Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 8, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Invincible 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 American Hope 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Eight Clap 3.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 Teddy’s Triumph 4.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Shear Magic 10.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Uncharted 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Sir Maximus 6.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Stick Shift 6.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 El Rey Rey 12.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Citadino 20.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Gold Foot 15.00 8.5 16-1
14 14 Sharpazano 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Final Boss 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Ario 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Casia 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Minedandrefined 1.60 1.7 3-1
6 6 Mango Moon 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Oak Creek Gal 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Ila Veiw Too 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Zzyzx 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hot Danzing 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Madison Rae 1.80 4.5 9-1
4 4 Signora Vittoria 5.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Stay Zappy 6.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Miss Miche Lada 5.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Pura Vida 5.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Memorysinthepark 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Irish Patsy 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Tiergarten 2.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Inner Beauty (IRE) 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Built Different 5.00 5 9-1
1 1 Zeyaraat 4.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Quickly Park It 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mucino 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Mauna Kea Bound 5.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Bad Sneakers 2.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Mixto 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Thrust 20.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Excel Calculator 2.50 4 7-1
2 2 Bring Him Home 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Zuma Beach S.) – Zuma Beach S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Endlessly 0 0-1
3 3 Endlessly 1.80 1 2-1
6 5 Grand Mo the First 8.00 2 4-1
9 8 Boltage 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Ace of Clubs 15.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Mici’s Express 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Pour Dompter (FR) 2.50 4.5 9-1
2 2 Ngannou 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Formidable Man 6.00 5 9-1
5 98 Rothschild 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Midnight Fury 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Princip 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Hondo Crouch 8.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Houndstooth 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Tiz Tok 20.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Ze’bul 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Heartbreak Kid 20.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Keen Heir 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Ghost of Midnight 6.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Storm the Night 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Surfer Girl S.) – Surfer Girl S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Dreamfyre 0 0-1
7 7 Angiolleta (IRE) 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Dreamfyre 4.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Flattery 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Buttercream Babe 8.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Where’s My Ring 15.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Putt for Dough 30.00 5 9-1
9 9 Zona Verde (IRE) 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Soho 5.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Sushi Sticks 12.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Loterie (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Big Novel 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Diamonds Danzing 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Stay and Scam 8.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Lady Maryann 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Wishtheyallcouldbe 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Class Clown 3.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Shanghai Sunrise 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Bold Choice 20.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Organic 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Seahawk Mary 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Aligato 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Seal Team (GB) 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Maltese Falcon (IRE) 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Reckless Spirit 10.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Lottery Pick 5.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Dominant Soul 20.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Soulmate 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Eastbound 20.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Wodeton (FR) 12.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Phosphorescence (FR) 20.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Lahaina Flavor 12.00 9.8 18-1
14 14 Taishan 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Flashiest 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Shortman 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.