Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 8, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bravo Kate 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Magical Trick 2.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Texensis 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Inittowinit 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Secord 3.50 6.3 12-1
1 1 Cozy Curlin Kitten 6.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Camarosa 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Walter Me Lad 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Jmr Speedy Escape 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Midnight Ramblin 3.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Heat Merchant 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Silver Smoke 4.50 4.3 8-1
10 10 Magnificent Mario 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Jimmies Big Day 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Tazman 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Graceful Fighter 12.00 7 13-1
5 5 Passthepuddinpleaz 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Field Hockey 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 No More Options 3.00 1 2-1
11 11 Night Striker 10.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Hatmaker Gizmo 4.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Lonhro’s Gamble 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 He Shoots He Wins 10.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 I’m Free 4.50 6.9 13-1
5 5 My Munnings Model 12.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Dubawi Bull 20.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Oh Peanuts 20.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Fabelman 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Be On Notice 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Elusive Knight 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tapsasional 4.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 A Thread of Blue 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Lac Macaza 12.00 4.2 8-1
13 13 Stowaway 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Stolen Money 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Collective Force 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Pat’ssewingmachine 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Uptown Lights 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Spring Mountain 20.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Steak and Cheese 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mehlek 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Fanore (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jokestar 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 Bedard 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Souper Justified 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Pet Sounds 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Motion Granted 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Stud Muffin 15.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Twirling Point 6.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Eat Food Everyday 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Algonquin S.) – Algonquin S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Golden Canary 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Rhapsody 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Pipit 1.60 3.5 7-1
3 3 Dancing Duchess 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Split Strike 3.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Sugar Treat 15.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Rock to Fame 20.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Lodge Hill 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (E. P. Taylor S.) – E. P. Taylor S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 With The Moonlight (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Fev Rover (IRE) 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Moira 2.50 2.4 4-1
7 7 Consumer Spending 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Aspen Grove (IRE) 20.00 6 11-1
8 8 Atomic Blonde (GER) 15.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Rocky Sky (IRE) 15.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Amazing Grace (GER) 10.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Skims (GB) 12.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Kalifornia Queen (GER) 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rockefeller 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Cruden Bay 8.00 2 4-1
4 4 Like the King 2.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Concealed Carry 20.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Henley’s Joy 2.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Journeyman 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Dolder Grand 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Canadian International S.) – Canadian International S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Nations Pride (IRE) 1.00 1 2-1
3 3 Palazzi 4.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Adhamo (IRE) 3.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 English Conqueror 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Starting Over 15.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Royal Champion (IRE) 6.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 British Royalty 20.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Dynadrive 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Nearctic S.) – Nearctic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Masen (GB) 4.00 1 2-1
11 11 Big Invasion 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Lucky Score 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 County Final 6.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Remuda 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Dream Shake 8.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Jazz Hands 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 War Bomber (IRE) 12.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Rockcrest 20.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Ice Chocolat (BRZ) 10.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Oceanic 10.00 10.2 19-1
9 9 Last American Exit 20.00 11.6 22-1
13 13 Dhabab (IRE) 20.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Hungry Wolf 0 0-1
4 4 Hungry Wolf 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Chairman Rainbow 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 So Called Vacation 3.50 2.6 5-1
9 9 Coherence 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Reason to Dream 8.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Absolute Chairman 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Astapovo 20.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Clive Cross 15.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Political Warfare 20.00 10 19-1
6 6 Demba 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.