Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, October 9, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Big Brook 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Marvelousmoondance 3.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Crack the Code 12.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Last Dream 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Zoppi Fischbein 8.00 4 7-1
2 2 Chief Forty 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Mob Justice 15.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 T’was the Night 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ell Gray 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 La Regalada 4.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Girvinized 5.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Onthisharvestmoon 4.00 2 4-1
6 6 Black Diamond Rain 2.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Stephanie My Love 5.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Shell Belle 6.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Trechmo Girl 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Your Inheritance 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 The Sweaty Fox 10.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Decoupage 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Bella Prima 3.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Boss Like Beth 4.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 Akemi 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Rita Moneymaker 0 0-1
6 6 More Ransom 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Golden Eib Micrphn 5.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Live Aid 4.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Juliet’s Music 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Twirling Wind 3.50 4.9 9-1
7 7 Tonala 15.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Politely Crowned 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Risque’s Jewel 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Roses From Heaven 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Miss Alex 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bet On Drama 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Dial for Love 2.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Overthebluesky 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Orb’s Party Girl 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Filly Phanatic 1.80 5 9-1
7 7 The Bawse’s Lady 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Kissit 20.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Sweet Emsy 15.00 8.2 15-1
9 9 Thru Novas Eyes 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jeanetteo 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Flashndynamite 3.50 2.8 5-1
9 9 Baby Gundin 4.50 2.9 6-1
8 8 Bossyness 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Erin’s Enthusiasm 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Connelmaura 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Unadulterated 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Catti La Belle 15.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Thegoddessofsnakes 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bustinupishardtodo 3.50 1 2-1
12 12 Defend 2.50 3.1 6-1
11 11 Ava K’s Boy 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Taco Bean 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Porsupuesto 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Upstate and Back 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Power Agenda 8.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Zoomster 10.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Center Mid Maddie 15.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Primordial Fear 10.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Meru 12.00 8.2 16-1
5 5 Refund Rigler 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sirani 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Put It in Da Books 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 For Sale 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Lucky Opportunity 6.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Bossy Kate 4.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Plus Sized Courage 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Paula’s Surprise 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Mikey’s Song 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 She’sallatwitter 8.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Gypsy Wanderer 15.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Ziffy Bug 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bode’s Maker 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Holdtheflight 5.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Lookin At Roses 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Truculent 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Magnolia Midnight 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Midnight Act 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Cobble Road 15.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Ruby Bleu 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Neigh Dude 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Zillion 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Little Harbour 3.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Osprey 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 R Goodtime Charlie 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Thiscatcanjump 4.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Captain Chazz 8.00 5 9-1
13 13 Imtakinittothebank 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Healy’s Hope 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Therisastormbrewin 8.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Magnetron 8.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Catch My Vibe 20.00 11.8 22-1
3 3 Manahawkin 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Daytime Lover 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Loverboy Lou 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.