Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Don’tthinkjustdoit | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Talklessworkmore | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mystic Flyer | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Hacking It Up | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fore Flag | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | California Bay | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Syntactic | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dos Vicios | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Discretionary Day | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bravestone | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alpine Thunder | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 98 | My Ransom | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Belly Up | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Coffee in Bed | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liberal Lady | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Wildcat | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keen Lady | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cliquish | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vitalera (CHI) | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Precocious Times | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ruff Ride | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rugelach | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Firsttimeinforever | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Annie’s Joy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jordan | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Court Snort | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nokie | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | California Tiger | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Falcon | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Logon to Win | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carol’s Comic | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Last One Perk | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Tripping | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lonesome Stew | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Torleif | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Avoir | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Laudatory | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lahar Blockade | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thermal | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just for Fun | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ima Joker | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uffda | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Certitude (FR) | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beads | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Discrepancy | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Respect the Crown | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cailin Dana | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Visually | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cyprus Moon | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tahoe Secrets | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stafford to Kupp | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cathedral Light | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Too Much Info | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All the King’s Men | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Missed Call | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ferociously | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New York Dreams (GB) | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spiritist | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Liberty Forever | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baj | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King Apollo | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | X J Rascal (IRE) | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | El Oro (FR) | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daniel’s Magic | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rutherford | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Arma d’Oro | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Del Mar Jerry | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hogmanay (IRE) | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bolt Supremacy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mor Tequila | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kingdom Heart | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | K P Kwest | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovesick Blues | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good With People | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Escape Route | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desmond Doss | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Swingtime S.) – Swingtime S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hamwood Flier (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eddie’s New Dream | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unbridled Mary | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Oakhurst | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freedom Flyer | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Girl (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Present Moment (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ankyrah | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Una Chiquitita (CHI) | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky for You | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 98 | Linda’s Gift | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.