Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 11, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ide Like Hawaii 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Saber Storm 4.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Make Your Destiny 6.00 2.4 4-1
9 9 Inspector Ed 15.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 K V Target 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Wheels Turning 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Admiral Afleet 15.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Toocan Dance 20.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Papiringo 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Perfect Strike 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Wildcard Gold 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Shankinstine 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Juliard Honor 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Lil Miss Sunshine 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Six Feet Apart 2.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Half Page 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Firey Emblem 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Lightning Hart 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Summerjustbet Her 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Condesa’s Handmaid 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Maestria 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Marvins’ Posse 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Whiskey Red 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 All Together 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Kat’s Soldier 10.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Uncle Hutch 4.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Angola Vacation 12.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Corte 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Kilo Key 20.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Drewnanimous 6.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Poppy T 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Katie’s Karat 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 A Wish for Madelyn 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Xcaret 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Debbies Passage 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Royal Bonus 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Proud Victoria 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Faded Memories 5.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Summertime Bandit 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Hardly Able 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Half Ours N Stormy 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Hoosier 4.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Bankroll 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Like This 4.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Sharp Charlie 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Lucas Zip It 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Fireinthestorm 6.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Adieu Le Chat 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Harpes Hill 20.00 8.2 15-1
12 12 Diablo Cat 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Adieu Aces 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Real Deal Ryan 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 No Cost 6.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Coal Dancer 3.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Nana’s Corn Muffin 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Cinco Gal 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Shesacatholicgirl 20.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Hart’s Pretty Girl 6.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Tall Tale 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Unlucky in Love 4.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mr. Cromwell 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Hey Jackson 3.50 3.2 6-1
9 9 Red Cents 12.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Kit Kat Kidd 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Plenty of Cents 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Weird Year 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Malorie’s Big Boy 5.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Out Making Treble 15.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Mosh Pit 20.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Cottonclub Soldier 20.00 9.2 17-1
12 12 Little Jony 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Red Raider Xpress 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
French Composer 0 0-1
6 6 Donegal Arrow 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Kid Shelleen 10.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 My Crazy Neighbor 5.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Uxmal 4.00 1.9 3-1
8 8 Overanalytical 8.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Pitch and Run 12.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Vodka Martini 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 French Composer 15.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Taraashoq 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 F J’s Flaco 20.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Donegal Factor 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bud Won 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Midnight Crown 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Windtapper Win 10.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Winning Dance 5.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Tapit Twice 8.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Lakeside Rumble 4.50 8.2 16-1
4 4 Meckes Priority 15.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Camaleon 20.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Always Have Paris 20.00 10.4 20-1
1 1 Another Final 20.00 10.5 20-1
12 12 Traffic Boss 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Red October 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.