Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lady With a Cause | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sicilian Grandma | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Java | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spiritcatcher | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rock the Nile | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Endless | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wildcat Dream | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vintage | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khanate | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Tiz My Hero | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lead Foot | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Khanate | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stunnem | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Head Lad | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moneyshot | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cloth of Gold | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wecallemfuncoupons | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Spectre | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Great Richie M | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Faversham | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Fast | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Waldrip | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Heart Headed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Gagliardi | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | We Miss Arlington | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Like a Saltshaker | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Risk Profile | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shackleford Strong | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caramel Chip | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caseys Memory | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Out Work’n | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Cool Dude | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Junior Bug | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whistlewhileyoumow | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ready Pursuit | 50.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Startdfromdabottom | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Talkscheap | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Colonial Rose | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winsome Beauty | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m a Mess | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Turino | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fun Loving | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Carina Nebula | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Show Me the Candy | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Killshave Beauty | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Maybe Magic | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Purr Factor | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pendulum | 3.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marshamarshamarsha | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sea Dancer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Floribunda | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | High Fashion Kate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Just Prada | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Go Margie Go | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Bout Hilary | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shy Shy | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Intermittent Fast | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Too Fast for You | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Back On Track | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Afterneath | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adios Muchachas | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Little Sass | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stealthespotlight | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grace Darling (IRE) | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lemon Bomb | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Up and Down | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lilac Girl | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clever Joke | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey Lullaby | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Make the Boys Wink | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Statement | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beautifulnavigator (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sake (FR) | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Paint Me Perfect | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Work of Fiction | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Empirical View | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lakeside Music | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Hola Gata | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Star Fortress (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sant’ Antimo | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hurry Hurry | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speed Warning | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Master Game | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Madison Luvs Duke | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Inexorable | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seven Flat | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Long Crow | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fightertown | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pike Place | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dog Red | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butterfly Queen | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Luz Divina | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cairo Street | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Simply Striking | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spiritual Lady | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mishka | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joyful Image | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Auraculous | 4.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Queen Lexi | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Extremely Gruntled | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Butterfly Queen | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | La Scaloneta | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pula | 20.00 | 12.4 | 24-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Miss Harmonic | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Savannamarie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Adellegator | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Crystal Symphony | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.