Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 11, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 DeSantis 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Saltin’ the Rim 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Runnin Joke 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Liberty Runner 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Omerta Code 20.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Bointheback 5.00 5 9-1
7 7 Kane 10.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Don’t Blame Freddy 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Distant Fire 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Beatubyachubinose 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Brody Slam 15.00 1.9 3-1
4 4 Miss Loyalty 10.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Lady Brexit 8.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Mani Pedi 12.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Not a Trace 3.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Creme Caramel 5.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Canoochee 15.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Bamboo Garden 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lil’ Late Luck 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Dune Jumper 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 All Hail Mo 1.80 3.9 7-1
2 2 Lucky Breeze 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Kefaliani 5.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Angelofthegalaxy 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 La La Lucy 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Amalfi Lady 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hurricane Highway 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Diesel 4.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Plamen 6.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Satchel de Ritches 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Abuelo Nuno 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Hope for Gold 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Crypt 4.50 5.9 11-1
9 9 Crafty Don 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lucky as a Seven 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 True Phenomenon 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Queen Rocket 5.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Magnolia Road 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Jsk Lucky’s Pushpa 8.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Dixie Groove 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Thendara’s Lost 4.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Our Self Alone 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Only Girl 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Bionic Kat 15.00 6 11-1
10 10 Nevertoomuchelvis 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 College Try 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bolt of Paradise 2.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Destin for Drama 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Well Rested 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Flashing Diamond 0 0-1
2 2 Flashing Diamond 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Reiterate 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Boss Cara 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Gavichi 5.00 5 9-1
7 7 Rose Legacy 20.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Frankly My Dear 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Sizzling Roma 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Peak of Chic 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Purrfect Mistress 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Popthechampagne Ro 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Debbie’s Surprise 3.50 1.7 3-1
10 10 Tudor Peak 3.00 1.8 3-1
11 11 Joy’s Pride 12.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Road to Dreams 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Bella Maria 20.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 So Softly 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Nana’s Boopa 20.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Sirenetta 12.00 3 6-1
4 4 Frieder Fanatic 20.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Milwaukee Bay 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dialherup 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Nail Polish 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Dancing On My Own 4.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Sugar Smile 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Denali Rae 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Shetalkstomuch 5.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Avatal Hero 8.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Sweet Heidelberg 3.50 3.9 7-1
9 9 Runnin Redbird 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Angelas Party Girl 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Luna T 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Hidden Cache 6.00 1 2-1
11 11 Burano 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Girlfromouterspace 6.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Fine Whining 15.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Gingers Wish 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Bohemia Babe 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Bunny Bonus 10.00 6.3 12-1
13 13 Gryphon’s Wings 15.00 10.3 19-1
7 7 Pageant Princess 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Lady Outofthe Blue 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Vanilla Bean 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Carlotuk 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 On the Shortlist 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rolls Royce Joyce 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Queen Cadence 8.00 1.5 3-1
11 11 Shiny Penny 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Tilsa 15.00 3.7 7-1
12 12 Baby Fade 8.00 4 8-1
10 10 Fast Intentions 10.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Pontiffany 4.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Jet Force 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Powwa of Love 15.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Seven Years Later 12.00 8.2 16-1
13 13 Skerrett 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ms Merrabel 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Classy Miss 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.