Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Coach Sessa | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast and Frisky | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Burgundy | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | She Is All Busines | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Starsinthecity | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Practical Royalty | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Snarky | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Naughty Destiny | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Up | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Calling an Audible | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saratoga Smokeshow | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dividend Recap | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bossy Jeans | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bertrille | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Munny Grab | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Dolomite | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Better Humor Me | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Liberty | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Foxy Cara | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Island Rose | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Malu | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Teresa | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bussia | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Monetary Monarch | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cuprite | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | He’smyhoneybadger | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bold Journey | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King Angelo | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Business Model | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Andiamo a Firenze | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eastern Bay | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Colonel Bowman | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Le Beau | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | I’m a Sure Thing | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | You Only Live Once | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Remind (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Taciturn | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Put the Crazy Away | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Notinamillionyears (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Madaket’s Arrow | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Riviere | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | She Will Dance (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dreaming of Mo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Miss Our Hero | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Vanished | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | I’m Glad (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Salto de Tigre | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Hammerin Aamer | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 11 | Bold Victory | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Dontbelate | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Joker Boy | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Dixie Drawl | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pit Boss | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grumps Little Tots | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jumpster | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caerus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 6 | Allaboutthemoney | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fleetfooted | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Loon Cry | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Private Credit | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Play the Music | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kerry | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lost My Sock | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fontanafredda | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dekanter | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Caironi | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Dutchess | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Georgees Spirit | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Free to Roam | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Obrigada | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Give Me Kisses | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Poet’s Woods | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Adeliese’s Smile | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Chrome | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | From Hello | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rheaume | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mouly | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Anileate | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Judgement Time | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Nightsaber (GB) | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Except Temptation | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Jasmine | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Pimenova | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tap It Up | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sister Nell | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frosty Invasion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rosebug | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rachel’s Rock | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mosienko | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Self Isolation | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Mamaluke | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Captainsdaughter | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dreaming of Snow | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ky Thirty Won | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Bustino Santino | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Okaloosa | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scherzando | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scaramanga | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Egyptian Quest | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kern River | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ky Thirty Won | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey and Wine | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twirling Vine | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Emerald | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lookin’ to Win | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Proud Alumnus | 50.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Refuah | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kentucky Joker | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Friday I’m in Love | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Beary Funny | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.