Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 12, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Beauty in Motion 0 0-1
4 4 Dusted 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Beauty in Motion 1.60 1.5 3-1
8 8 Exageradora 5.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Don’t Annoy Me 10.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Paul’s Tricky Tale 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Ms Kays Cowgirl 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Peace Pact 6.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Red River Susi 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Throwback 0 0-1
5 5 Providing 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Throwback 4.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 G G’s Dark Star 6.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Angelic Gal 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Win Or Cellar 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Saweetie Girl 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Comoda 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Don’t Tell Kelly 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Forever Hopeful 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Turbo Millie 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Eastern Sunrise 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Amorica 10.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Intolerant 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Nosy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Just Plain Ornery 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Ruthenian 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 He’s On Fire 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Street Lamp 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Papa Jimmy 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Honor My World 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Lawlessness 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Starship Gotham 15.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 The Colora Kid 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tres Maria’s Dream 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Palacsinta 6.00 1 2-1
13 13 Apple Lover 20.00 4 8-1
1 1 Hot Bottom Girl 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Wine in the Dark 4.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Shaymyname 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Bounty Killah 15.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Sea Image 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Big Sis Nic 20.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Lady Raven 15.00 7.7 15-1
14 14 April’s Gold 12.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Akiva 30.00 8.7 16-1
10 10 Hurry Up Dear 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Divine Promise 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Take a Hint 1.50 1 2-1
5 5 Liberty Star 2.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Run Poppy 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Swifty Devil 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Street Hustle 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Disco Devil 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Sagrada Ray 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Continental Divide 8.00 1.5 3-1
11 11 Bomboloni 10.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 April Fools Andy 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Phileas Fogg 6.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Admiral’s Wave 10.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Twist ‘n Twirl 6.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Furiously 4.50 6.8 13-1
4 4 Positively Awesome 20.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Big Louie 20.00 9.8 18-1
8 8 My Danny Boy 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mystery Mo 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Hashtag No Wonder 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Uncle Jake 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Caged Pixie 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Livin’ At the Bu 2.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Free Kitty 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Wicked T 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Nurse Rachett 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Mikey’s Jewel 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Graphite Dutchess 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.