Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 12, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Viewing Trail 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Retro Rita 8.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Our Clover Gal 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Cayman Queen 3.50 4.2 8-1
10 10 She’smysmokeshow 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Ocean Fleet 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Sum Charm 6.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Bye Bye Big Baby 15.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Saratoga Karen 20.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Slide 15.00 8.3 16-1
12 12 Just a Win 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Layla’s Song 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Cant Attack Arch 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Zero Point Zero 8.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Serape 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Miss Darlene 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Eli’s Girl 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 K V Squared 3.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Preach It Girl 15.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Mylies Star 15.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Vallejo 8.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Kappa Hill 20.00 9 17-1
11 11 Sense of Flurry 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 A Runnin Afleet 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Zoey’s Hippie 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Iron N Steel 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Serrano’s Warrior 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Charlie’s Parade 3.50 5.9 11-1
10 10 Catalina Day 5.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 I’m a Night Train 6.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Pal’s Alarm 10.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 The Last Cat 15.00 9.3 18-1
9 9 Flash of Rain 12.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 A Fool for Carlos 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mo Smoking 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mor Kisses 6.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Reina Aces 20.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Muchmorethanready 4.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Gotteminabind 6.00 4 7-1
6 6 Cat B Cause 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Julio Choice 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Geaux Vote 3.00 6 11-1
1 1 Easy Act 10.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Arctic Guitar 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Rite On Sam 0 0-1
4 4 Yes Jack 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Make It Spend It 1.40 2.6 5-1
1 1 Glamordini 3.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Clearing Customs 4.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Fruit Cup 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Rite On Sam 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Two Jet 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Madison’s Screen 12.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Sheza Salty Gal 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Building Home 20.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 For Real Alice 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Miss Target 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Dolly’s Guitar 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Charged Temp 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Where’s Aunt J 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Afleet Charlene 20.00 9.1 17-1
11 11 Commercial Flash 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Carbon Stryker 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Savage 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Liken It 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Jazzy Justin 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 B W P Special 12.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Chapel Barn 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 Andiamo Giacomo 10.00 6 11-1
8 8 Far Beyond 6.00 6 11-1
4 4 Muffin Nuts 12.00 6.1 12-1
12 12 Schnell 10.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Autopilot 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Sailor Chow 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sweet Temperament 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Flashy Meg 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 First I’ve Seen 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Free Drop Maddy 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Blaze Away N Hide 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Ima Discreet Lady 3.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Summer Lightning 8.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Kela’s Turn 12.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Take Charge Woman 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Splenda Gail 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Twisted Brade 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Abbey Cakes 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Bold Exaggeration 10.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Roll Gypsy Roll 4.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Miss Arkansas 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Bodi Odi 10.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Lo Profile 5.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Majestic Cinema 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Reine Le Fer 6.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Clearance Sale 15.00 8.7 16-1
12 12 Lil Party Crasher 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Payton’s Indian 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.