Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | One Giant Leap | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kattath | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forrest City | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Attache | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Luck | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chance | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Line | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Pass Line | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Off the Clock | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fujin | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smoke Wagon | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lundberg | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Huntsville | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tamashi | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amerease | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Louis | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Beauxs Artes | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Tappy Tone | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Minnie’s Ready | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Blood | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lotsandlotsofgold | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jackie’s Love | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Laughter | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Water Fight | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Promisemeanempire | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Accommodate Eva | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Kitty Cat | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mixer | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fully Entitled | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vino From Ernies | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pam Pam | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mysidehustle | 4.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Annamaria | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pray for Champagne | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Practical | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Liam’s Message | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Despo’s Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Chiquita Reina | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | She’s a Shopper | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Princess Is Olivia | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mandatory Meeting | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Radio Liberty | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Thomas Aquinas | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Phreddie Mac | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Thunder Ball | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gamblin George | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | St. Armands Key | 8.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Radio Liberty | 4.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mandatory Meeting | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gould’s Gold | 6.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mendelsfly | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Agapee Mou | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zverev | 3.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Elm Street | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Disattached | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Trikari | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sheriff Joe | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Act of Mutiny | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Good Heart | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Money Run | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rungius | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Indulge | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mumayaz | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carmichael | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stonevicious | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Treaty | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Real Men Violin | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frontline Warrior | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mugatu | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Edgartown | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tireless | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | All About Tonite | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drobny | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Phenomenal Dream | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mill Street | 6.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sharon’s Prince | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Roundtop | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Uncle Truly | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Tapitoro | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Time Muse | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Deadpan | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Omex | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Little Prankster | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Becca | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Black Forest | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Arlington | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wilma Mankiller | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magical Lute | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lover Girl | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Filly Crystal | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Moment to Shine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Safe Trip Home | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tall Boy | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | King Curlin | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr McGregor | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | All Choked Up | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baseline Beater | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oscar Award | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blamethegoodtimes | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Le Griffon | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gatlinburg | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Aces | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fingal | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | El Ahijado | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | American Diamond | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Kigali | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Soybean Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Allinthecall | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shesasmalltowngirl | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | St. Benedicts Prep | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nursekringledances | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Market Profile | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Acclaim | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Birdie Rose | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Be Miss Hattie | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marmalade Skye | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Oh My Gawd | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.