Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 12, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Classic Performer 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 She’s Stormy 2.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Run Around Slew 6.00 3.2 6-1
12 12 Little Baby Girl 10.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Queen Jelly Bean 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Bee Mountain 30.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Lenamagnetta 20.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Moms Tribute 12.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Funny She Fired Me 30.00 10.9 21-1
10 10 Abstract Moment 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lady Thor 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Conceptualize 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Brasstown 1.00 1 2-1
8 8 Forloveofcountry 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Can’t Pass It Up 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Formal Order 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 What Say You 20.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Hot N Spicy Love 30.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Northern Thunder 30.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Virginia Fulla 30.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Bowie Two Step 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hunter Joe 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Colbaloaf 10.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Oxide 12.00 4.9 9-1
12 12 Crazy Kater 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 My Boy Colton 3.50 6.5 12-1
11 11 Never Change 6.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Noble Conquest 30.00 10.1 19-1
8 8 Jammin Still 30.00 13.5 26-1
15 15 Dubby Dubbie 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Continental Divide 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Hanalei’s Houdini 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Tijuana Brass 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Lookin for Justice 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Patriotic Party 3.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Gliding Afleet 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 King’s Honor (IRE) 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Murray 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Kadri 5.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Outkissed 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Funkenstein 1.80 4.4 8-1
8 8 Magic Mule 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Mojovation 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Treasure Tradition 30.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Showtime Cat 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dark and Fitzy 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Master of None 6.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 General’s Duty 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Carloun (IRE) 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Home School 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 Gettin’downonit 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Elusive 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Dyna Mast 20.00 7 13-1
12 12 Mackenzie’s Novva 20.00 11.3 21-1
14 14 King Swansboro 30.00 11.3 21-1
15 15 Labarde 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Reel Well 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Storming Chrome 1.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Crossland 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Wicked Secret 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tocayo 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Pure Realization 10.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Kingdom Force 5.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Armed and Ready 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Chipandaputt 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Brodie Boy 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Simon’s Choice 6.00 6.2 12-1
12 12 Minxzluckystarfyre 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Mister Agent 12.00 7 13-1
10 10 Gallant Ruler 10.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Running Lucky 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Hittheroadjak 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rambert 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Mundle of Joy 10.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Shasta Star 2.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Canadian Ginger 2.50 5 9-1
6 6 Bandits Warrior 15.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Paper Mansion 10.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Hitch a Ride 12.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Spicy Margarita 10.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Adios Babe 10.00 8 15-1
5 5 Fancy Princess 30.00 13.2 25-1
1 1 Miss Domina 3.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Fast Lani 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Flip My Id 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Lady Serenity 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Belmar Summer 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Mid Day Image 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ocean City 8.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Boat’s a Rockin 12.00 2 4-1
12 12 Maya Prince 3.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Rebel Posse 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Zyramid 6.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Matta 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 So Street 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Destin’s Mission 8.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Tom Hagen 30.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 B Determined 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Spycraft 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Phantom Smoke 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Alexis S 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Chuck Willis (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ratified 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Free Admission 10.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Marley’s Ghost 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Connie’s Dance 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Peachessweetnotion 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Love Notion 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Vixsinzkeltkbanshe 3.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Visual Illusion 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Two Spot 50.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.