Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Cajun Eddie |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
From the Heart |
15.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Noise Complaint |
8.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Valentino |
4.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Color Me Legendary |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Summer Lover |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Morolicious |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Humor Me Please |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Accrual |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Much Times Two |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Farm Dog |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Disco Danzing |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lapis Lazuli |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bluegrass Breeze |
2.50 |
5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Charm the Ladies |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Awesome Outlaw |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Furious Avenger |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jim and Jim |
3.50 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Grayghostgranville |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Kiss Principal |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mr Oklahoma City |
15.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gamma Ray |
20.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Prince of Glory |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Zoffa |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Texas Prado |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gist |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Big Pete |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Calipari |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Classic King |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Deanos Cape |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Whooping Jay |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Guinessey |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Words of Wisdom |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Box Seat |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chocolateicecream |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Catholic Guilt |
4.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fire Extinguisher |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr. Nightblinger |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
11 |
11 |
California Swing |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Patsy R |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Whats Up Sweets |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gee Gee |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Artistic Vision |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Oh Niki |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gp’s Amazing Grace |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lovely Lolita |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Conflicting Tales |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Faith Alone |
10.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Outlining |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Titled Lady |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
True Blue Sky |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Night Orb |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Our Davina |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Get Serious |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
My Girl Melly |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Release McCraken |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Too Much Action |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ernie Banker |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chrome Baby |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dust Em |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Time Machine |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bobby Brinkley |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
U. S. Army |
2.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Tiz Magic |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Repasado |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Diva Treva |
12.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Amalfi Sky |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Medalla Match |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jan’s Turn to Win |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Happy Sailor |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tipsy Gal |
4.50 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
How Bout Me |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Boss On the Run |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Singsational |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Speak Softly |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
All American Lady |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fend Off |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Arr Piratetreasure |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
In a Mineshaft |
3.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kat’n Chrome |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Montana’s Angel |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.