Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 12, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Amber Light 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Lake Shore Drive 2.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Midnight Moonshine 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Unexpected Outcome (IRE) 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Echo With Laughter 4.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Wild Conversation 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Aramos 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Twixter 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Arnie P 20.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Spanish Serenade 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Take Chances 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Sunyani 3.50 5.8 11-1
6 6 All for Honor 3.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Wont Forget You 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Get My Drift 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Golden Spring 3.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Always My Fault 15.00 2 4-1
1 1 Dixieribsy 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Tabloid Material 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 She Is Hopeful 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Silent Patsy 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 I’m Awesome 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Rocket Joe Copper 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Steak and Cheese 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Derzkii 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Seguimi 6.00 6 11-1
7 7 Hullabaloo 12.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Jack the Cat 12.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Timeskip 10.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Chairman Bob 20.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Mad Dog N Joe 20.00 9.4 18-1
10 10 Desolator 2.50 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lois 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Eye Got It Good 20.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Ishiyaya 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Spanish Beauty 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Fantail (GB) 6.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Very Savvy 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Gormley Girl 10.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Wake Up Maggie 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Wings From Above 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sonet’s Name 8.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Swirling Dancer 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Big Ginger 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Winyah Bay 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Plus Power 10.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Spring High 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Giant Teddy 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Determined Fury 3.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Highland Life 12.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Cerebro 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Anarchy 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Threefiftyseven 2.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fedaline 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Want to Go Dancing 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Alcom’soutinthwash 20.00 3 6-1
9 9 Castleton 10.00 3 6-1
11 11 T’pring 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Eva’s Record 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Shez a Sealy 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Daddy’s Legacy 4.50 7.2 14-1
8 8 Pola Star 20.00 9.1 17-1
10 10 Gentle Seas 12.00 9.8 19-1
6 6 Classic Glory 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.