Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 13, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wisecracker 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Mama’s Middie 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Khadullah 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Pandagate 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Arco Augusta 5.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Inonit 4.50 6.1 12-1
4 4 In a Minute 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lamorna 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Sale Leaseback (IRE) 4.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Dorothy’s Dreams 10.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Twisted Romance 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Echo Lake 12.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 Madam Leota 15.00 4.5 8-1
12 12 Love Restrained 12.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Save Us Melania 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Reagan’s Flame 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Classic Cara 30.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Troubled Luck 30.00 7 13-1
6 6 Jenas Mercy 20.00 7.3 14-1
15 15 Marco T. 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Wildcat Fire 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Golden Ghost (GB) 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Z Train (IRE) 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Collaboration 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Orange Freeze 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Golden Rocket 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Waterville 2.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Stella Mars 5.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Masterof the Tunes 3.50 5.6 10-1
3 3 Sweetest Princess 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Joking Way 2.50 1 2-1
5 6 Amani’s Eagle 4.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 On the Come Up 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 8 Tommy Gun 3.00 4.6 9-1
1 4 Moving Pictures 4.00 5 10-1
6 7 Truebelieve 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 2 Big Save 8.00 6.2 12-1
1A 5 Charger 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Harry Hood 6.00 1 2-1
7 6 Jarreau 8.00 1.6 3-1
6 5 Thethrillofvictory 12.00 2.6 5-1
10 9 St. Joe Louis (GB) 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Lord Flintshire 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Sonic Speed 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Miracle Mike 4.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Front Man 15.00 5 9-1
4 3 Blame D Rule Maker 10.00 5.8 11-1
12 11 Zapruder 20.00 8.4 16-1
1 12 Blu Grotto 30.00 9.6 18-1
13 13 King Tsunami 20.00 SCRATCH
1A 14 Achilles Heel 30.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Kingfish Stevens 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Walley World 0 0-1
4 4 Anchises 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tom Collins 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Message of Hope (IRE) 10.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Walley World 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 Prariedale 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Midnight Council 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Inherent Promise 10.00 4.5 9-1
12 12 Admiral Nimitz (GB) 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Golden Plate 12.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Fred George (IRE) 10.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Game Misconduct 30.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Don Vino Vici 30.00 9.5 18-1
13 13 British Sea 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Downing Street 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Otello 4.50 SCRATCH
16 16 The Hero Code 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Aula 0 0-1
3 3 Vodka Mardini 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Aula 12.00 2 4-1
8 8 Screaming Uncle 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Whenlovetakesover 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Growth Mindset 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 No Surrender 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Refuah 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Lucency 2.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Rebel Red (GB) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Iron Works 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Tonal Impact 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Costa Terra 1.80 1.5 3-1
2 2 Good Skate 5.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Constitutionlawyer 4.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Mystic Night 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Cigarette Boat 3.00 1 2-1
8 7 Alexis Zorba (GB) 1.20 2.2 4-1
1 9 Ringside 10.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Foreign Influence 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Highland Lord 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 2 Borletti (IRE) 15.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Iron Man Jimmy 8.00 6 11-1
7 6 Tap Your Heart 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 5 Venge 20.00 7.7 15-1
12 12 War Stride 1.60 SCRATCH
11 11 Light the Way 3.50 SCRATCH
1A 13 Login Required 10.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Party With Smarty 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.