Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 13, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Violent City 0 0-1
5 5 Mongolian Bee 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Violent City 2.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Majestic Mandate 5.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Cpriority 6.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Xanthus Wrath 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 G’s Storm 10.00 7 13-1
4 4 Half a Buck 8.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Shady Grady 10.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Cleric 15.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Mr Liberty 20.00 9.2 17-1
12 12 Chicken Truck 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Twirling Chief 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Louisiana Jewel S.) – Louisiana Jewel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Running Argument 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Diamond Deal 1.80 1.1 2-1
6 6 Emily’s Bullet 4.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Tommie G 5.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Good N Sassy 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Ronnie’s Deal 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Cajun Cyclone 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Bobby Boy 10.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Bobby Two Shot’s 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Spinning Aces 2.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Theboyz Secret 3.50 5.5 10-1
9 9 Joe T 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Craken Jax 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 C F Henry 12.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Canal St. Cupid 20.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Gamer Nate 15.00 9.1 17-1
12 12 Mighty Maddox 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 I Nita Warrior 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Coolcross 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Unfathomed 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 G Victory 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Incorrigible 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Outlaw X. 12.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 The Green Mo’ster 6.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Quana Dude 10.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Tappin Fora Dance 20.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Mr B Quiet 10.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Due Apeal 20.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Pinch Assault 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Coach Kenny 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cashew 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Girl Pro 4.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Angel of Verdun 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 Glance 5.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Beautiful Ending 1.80 3.1 6-1
5 5 Ashley’s Girl 15.00 4 8-1
4 4 Goodnightloving 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Zestful 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Seau 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Pickens 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Janets Jay Jay 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Dancin With Angels 10.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Blame J D 6.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 First Glimpse 5.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Munqad 20.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Gotta Go 15.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Uncle Frank 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Its a Wrap 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 No White Flags 2.50 1.3 3-1
7 7 Unified Dreams 6.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Machine Gun Man 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Strong Eagle 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Double Star 5.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Fleetridge 8.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Ballinonabudjet 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Louisiana Legacy S.) – Louisiana Legacy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Strong Promise 1.80 1 2-1
8 8 El Dinero 6.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Good and Stout 5.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Rising Koto Star 15.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Take Charge J J 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Involvednteraction 20.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Stovall 10.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Cajun Cyclone 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Deal With It Daddy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fire Sword 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 New Every Morning 8.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Mists of Time 4.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Draft Choice 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Parlay Pete 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Custom Blue Grass 5.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Lucky Louie 15.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Analyzer 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Gallant Star 12.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 War Rogue 20.00 9.4 18-1
10 10 Lil Miss de Buy 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Louis Le Grande 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.