Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 13, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 My Assistant 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Roses Are Free 2.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Tangerine Twist 8.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Bellaspina 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Lulu’s Lullaby 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Magnetize 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Serenade At Sea 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Makes No Cents 5.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Amazon Forester 8.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Busta Groove 12.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 River of Babylon 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Global Chairman 3.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Smokin Holiday 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Starship Bay 10.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Holiday in Chile 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Stolen 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Gambler’s Pose 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Yoga 1.80 4.1 8-1
6 6 Time to Reload 3.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Queen Sahara 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Another Pinky 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Loaded Vixen 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sugar Is Golden 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Katchy Name 3.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Khozzy Valintine 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Northern Ruby 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Charlotte’s Silver 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Oheavens 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Stormy Suzie 20.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Wicked Miah 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Silent Reserve 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 He’s Fully Loaded 5.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Sooner Lunar 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Kinetic Stone 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Gatling Gun 15.00 4 7-1
2 2 Smart Coverage 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Warp Ride 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sea to Air 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Musical Stride 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Lobby Bar 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Passthepuddinpleaz 12.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Jmr Speedy Escape 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Hardware Gap 10.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Adelaide Court 8.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Silent Risk 15.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Mr. Marshall 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Inventing 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Beyond Mybudget 1.60 2 4-1
4 4 Pemberley 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Keyflower (FR) 1.80 3.8 7-1
3 3 Lady Brew 4.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bongino 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Mehlek 2.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Exult 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Chelsea Dagger 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Infamous Covert 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Jmr Pure Sensation 15.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 October Frost 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Gendragon 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Super Headline 10.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Absolute Jewel 15.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Kodiak Mamba (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.