Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 14, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Patty Cakes 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Will Or Won’t 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Doctor Abbie 6.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Six the Hard Way 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Alexa’s Dream 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Indy Again 2.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Life On the Nile 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Amani’s Tiger 2.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Four Days Early 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Champagne Juan 3.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Three Fold 10.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Master Mojo 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 Working Man 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kashan 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Protomagic 3.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Let’s Be Honest 6.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Queen’s Dream 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Liking It Twisted 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Little Red Button 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Thea’s Theme 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Red Pepper Grill 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bold Medication 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 City Humor 4.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Nieuwendyk 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Ventilator 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Vegas Playboy 4.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Excalibrate 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 The Golden One 10.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Love Me Or Don’t 12.00 9 17-1
8 8 Social Joe 12.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Mo Eh Hennessy 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Smoochinwithcindy 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Delta Charm 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Toot Your Horn 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Beatiful Karla 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Tita Mimosa (IRE) 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Fancy Warrior 6.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Penny Polka 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Voltamour 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Hop and Scotch 15.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Guillaume 12.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Ultimate Irony 12.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Khozy My Boy 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Mr. Sarcastic 15.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 American Nightmare 20.00 5 9-1
7 7 Dramatized 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 The Angry Man 20.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 Mount Travers 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Castagno 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Reconvene 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Noble Conquest 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 King’s Honor (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Rocky Run S.) – Rocky Run S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Catire Vizcaya 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Thedingoateyobaby 10.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Frankie’s Empire 10.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Copper Tax 2.50 2.8 5-1
10 10 Willy D’s 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Crazy Mason 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Bolt of Aurum 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 American War Hero 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Real Sensation 15.00 6.1 11-1
11 11 Deposition 20.00 7.7 14-1
2 2 Randazzo 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Stellwagen Banker 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Wootdareitis 15.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Summer Ash 4.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Cape Cod Summer 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 River Full 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Connecting 12.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Mr. Cowboy Bradley 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Onehandsomedude 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Tapio 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.