Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 14, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mardi Gras Alarm 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 A P Humor 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Sense of Flurry 4.00 3.1 6-1
12 12 Puglia 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Mschitchattour 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Soddy Daisy 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Ryan’s Grace 10.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Indy Lover 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Cajun Two Step 8.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Stop Shop N Drop 5.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Marilyn’s Magic 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Hot Patootie 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Track Smart 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Hushed Court Room 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Harriet’s Dream 3.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Itsnotmyjob 12.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 My Kiki 15.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 New Year’s Party 10.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 D’wild Muffin 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 See Sassy Run 15.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Sara’s Sapphire 20.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Tugboat 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Lightofmaine 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 One Line Ruler 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Hillbilly Risen 10.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Bellamysawesomeday 20.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Gnaughty Kimmy 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Tiffany’s Ferrari 5.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Cozy Courtney 6.00 5 9-1
10 10 Ido Solemnly Swear 20.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 With a Song 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Southeaster 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Bitsy C C Lil Girl 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mo Bella 6.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Miss Charlie Gras 8.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Blue Ridge Queen 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Hey Madalyn Claire 10.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 She’s My Priority 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Cozzolani 15.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Lovin Livin 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Storm Breach 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Lil Ditty’s Kitty 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Lo Lo’s Laughter 0 0-1
4 4 Lo Lo’s Laughter 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Mo Credo 3.50 3.1 6-1
10 10 Pinch Hitter 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Alligator Crawl 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 King of Contraband 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Tactical Vision 8.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Gobot 8.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Cocal 20.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Optimal Trip 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Double On the Red 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Josan 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Quiet as Midnight 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bettabe Bourbon 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Macho Beanie 3.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 El Deal Me Aces 8.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 George Allen 10.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Guitar Doctor 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Veterans Day 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Drewmazing 12.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Up N Gone 4.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Gotmy Mo Jo Workin 15.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Order Up 20.00 7.7 15-1
12 12 Big Boo 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Marks Promise 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Oak Hill Lg 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Autopilot 4.50 3.2 6-1
11 11 I Will Stand 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Chief Charlie 2.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Second of July 8.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Indimaaj 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Liars Club 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Promising Shoes 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Arctic Rose 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Flashy Premo 20.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Johnnysjourney 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Get Witt Gone 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Seize the Treasure 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Onemoretimearound 5.00 2 4-1
9 9 Classic Bet 1.60 3.4 6-1
10 10 Dare to Fail 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Midnight Rules 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Running Late 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Rum ‘n Tonic 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Paynt Battle 12.00 5 10-1
3 3 Mazing Mark 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Z’s Guitar 20.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Commander Scott 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Donegal Factor 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Isolation 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Lil Miss de Buy 15.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Kiss Ride Goodbye 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Hurricane Tizway 2.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Sweet Bay 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Crider Chase 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Cyber Sneaker 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Izeonpoint 3.50 6.1 11-1
9 9 L G Girl 20.00 9 17-1
6 6 Kind Ways 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.