Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mardi Gras Alarm | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A P Humor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sense of Flurry | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Puglia | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mschitchattour | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soddy Daisy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ryan’s Grace | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Indy Lover | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Two Step | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stop Shop N Drop | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Marilyn’s Magic | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Hot Patootie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Track Smart | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hushed Court Room | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Harriet’s Dream | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Itsnotmyjob | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Kiki | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New Year’s Party | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D’wild Muffin | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | See Sassy Run | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sara’s Sapphire | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tugboat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lightofmaine | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Line Ruler | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hillbilly Risen | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bellamysawesomeday | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gnaughty Kimmy | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiffany’s Ferrari | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cozy Courtney | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ido Solemnly Swear | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | With a Song | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Southeaster | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bitsy C C Lil Girl | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Bella | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Charlie Gras | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Ridge Queen | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Madalyn Claire | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’s My Priority | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cozzolani | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lovin Livin | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Storm Breach | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lil Ditty’s Kitty | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lo Lo’s Laughter | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Lo Lo’s Laughter | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Credo | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pinch Hitter | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alligator Crawl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | King of Contraband | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tactical Vision | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gobot | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cocal | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Optimal Trip | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Double On the Red | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Josan | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Quiet as Midnight | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bettabe Bourbon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Macho Beanie | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Deal Me Aces | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | George Allen | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Guitar Doctor | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Veterans Day | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drewmazing | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Up N Gone | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gotmy Mo Jo Workin | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Order Up | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Big Boo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Marks Promise | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Oak Hill Lg | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Autopilot | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | I Will Stand | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chief Charlie | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Second of July | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Indimaaj | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Liars Club | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Promising Shoes | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arctic Rose | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Premo | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Johnnysjourney | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Get Witt Gone | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Seize the Treasure | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Onemoretimearound | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Classic Bet | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dare to Fail | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Rules | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Running Late | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rum ‘n Tonic | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paynt Battle | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mazing Mark | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Z’s Guitar | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Commander Scott | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Donegal Factor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Isolation | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lil Miss de Buy | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kiss Ride Goodbye | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hurricane Tizway | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Bay | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crider Chase | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cyber Sneaker | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Izeonpoint | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | L G Girl | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kind Ways | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.