Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 14, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Crown Jak 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Platinum Rocker 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Quick Recovery 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Revolu 20.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Dukes Gonna Tapit 20.00 7 13-1
9 9 My Sweetheart Dani 12.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Dreamy 4.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Last Glory 8.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Good Magic Woman 6.00 10.6 20-1
10 10 Air Force Babe 20.00 12 23-1
7 7 Taking It All 20.00 12.1 23-1
13 13 Queen Aiko 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Panola 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Miss Athletic 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bianca Luna 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Maelstrom Spirit 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 One Track Mine 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Nothing But Pumps 2.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Krabi 1.60 2.1 4-1
5 5 Capture This 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Rough Enough 20.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Gratia 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Funtastica 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 No More Debt 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Tuwaim 12.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Shastree 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Grand Rock 2.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Tejota 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Tapintoyourbeer 2.50 5.8 11-1
4 4 Danley 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Action Dream 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Southern Dream 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Betta Go Go Go 3.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Tizaduke 12.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Beastly Speed 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Song On the Radio 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Vinicio 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 How Surprising 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Curlins Cruzin 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Awesome Train 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Khoolzan 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Lace Up 4.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Ekati King 20.00 5 9-1
9 9 Jigsaw 6.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Reef Runner 8.00 9.7 18-1
3 3 King Faliero 12.00 10 19-1
5 5 Smokin Jack Flash 15.00 10.2 19-1
2 2 Lena’s Jazz 30.00 11 21-1
1 1 National 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Midnight Bella 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Battle Cry 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Go Big Green 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Chick’s Shadow 2.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Love Her Lots 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Don’t Get Pickled 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Golden Haven 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Demogorgon 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Swoonatra 4.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Crystal Coast 8.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Streaking Grey 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 She Fled the Scene 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Lady Dominance 6.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Golden Voice 12.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Zisisit (IRE) 6.00 6.1 11-1
10 10 Khosea 10.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Dancingwthdaffodls 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Backchat 12.00 1 2-1
10 10 Capture the Time 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Honesto 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Starship Wizard 4.50 4.9 9-1
9 9 Anamnestic 3.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 C My Meister 10.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Happyisashappydoes 8.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 The Mar 20.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Gentleman Gerry 12.00 9.7 18-1
4 4 Wicked Suprise 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Steal Sunshine 0 0-1
5 5 Positive Review 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Brooklyn Strong 10.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Eastside Cool 6.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Steal Sunshine 1.60 2.2 4-1
3 3 Grand David 20.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Lightning Tones 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Miles D 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Eldon’s Prince 15.00 1 2-1
3 3 California Frolic 12.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Marwad (GB) 2.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Figureti (CHI) 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Stat 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Night Jumper 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Logico 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Hot Blooded 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Mutaawid 30.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Love Me Not 6.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Fly the W 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Into Touring 12.00 1 2-1
8 8 She’s So Bearrish 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Action Rose 3.50 3.5 7-1
10 10 Mad Madame Mim (IRE) 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Our Fortune Cookie 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Tayyara 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Val’s Gal 8.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Macassa 6.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Ylang Ylang 30.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Musical Journey 20.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Delta Red 30.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.