Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blonde Bombshell | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | In Your Face | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Katerini | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Modera | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mimsy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Downburst | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | De Joria | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Magazine | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corporal Violette (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dolly May (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shezmisbehaving | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Violet Storm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Vulin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 98 | Divinely Bolt | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nothing Like You | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tianma | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Great Forty Eight | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arctic Breeze | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Bring Crazy | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flynn’s Chance | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pinehurst (IRE) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Legislator | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Calm Sea | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | St Ignacio | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smooth Salute | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Partner Glen | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hula Candy | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Super Chief | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sauls Call | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colt Fiction | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seattle Breakout | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stay in the Game | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Diablo Rojo | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Not A Sinner (GB) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Iscreamuscream | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Feisty Mitole | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Double Bay (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cailin Dana | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Impec (IRE) | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ellie Moore (IRE) | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Respect the Crown | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Visually | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Habeas | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | John Grey | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | King Zog | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chaos Reigns | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Brother Mike | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pop Pop’s Ride | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Take Action | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Emerald Union | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fifty Cinco | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gabbysonholiday | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (California Distaff H.) – California Distaff H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Organic | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rose Maddox | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ultimate Hy | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rose Dawson | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chismosa | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Madiha | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kleen Karma | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sheza Girly Girl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Equilove (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Awesome Taylor | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jacrodra’s Devil | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Code Ribbon | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A New Peace | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never Sway | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Connelly | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Drizella | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roman Empress | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Big Coupe | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Giovinazzo | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Low Expectations | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Hat Willie | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marks Hip | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Caisson | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Rewards | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mastermind | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aurelian Man | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Stamp My Passport | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clouseau | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ever a Rebel | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Breakfast Ride | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arrowthegreat | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smart Mo | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Finneus | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ghazaaly | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mischelof (CHI) | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Plus | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Departure | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jacks Outlaw | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Overdue | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cali Bay (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grape Nuts Warrior | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Birth of Cool | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Eagle | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Boaster | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Perfectionistic | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.