Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 15, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Union Lights 2.00 1 2-1
3 4 Cheeky Tico 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 Magical Ways 0.60 2.1 4-1
2 2 Charger 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 6 Prince of Joy 15.00 5.2 10-1
1A 3 Gut Feeling 0.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Irish Gent (IRE) 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 First Trumpet 15.00 3 6-1
11 11 Typhoon Fury 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 Bourbon Outlaw 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 1 Pet Mat 15.00 7.3 14-1
1 2 Won Team 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Street Earnings 12.00 8.2 16-1
1A 15 Laser Sharp 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Rapture Bay 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Migratory 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Zingales King 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Ocala Rocket 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Izzy d’Oro 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Air Invasion 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Dilger (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sister Linda 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Vegas Weekend 3.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Suspended Campaign 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Gringotts 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Triple P 30.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Halo City 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 I’m Buzzy 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Good Rapport 0 0-1
2 2 Lucky Lucky Luke 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Good Rapport 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Proven Hope 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Uncle Water Flow 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Legendary Lore 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Strong Light 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Scotto 30.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Happy Bob 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bad Larry 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Chalky Cat 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 Woodside Warrior 1.60 3.1 6-1
4 4 War Prince 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Watch Hill 10.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Mr. Busta 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Majestic Arc 20.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Malibu Mystery 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Light the Way 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Burton Way 8.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Phelpsy 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Silo Ridge 1.40 SCRATCH
8 8 Opportunity Set 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Flying Liam 15.00 4 8-1
7 7 Login Required 15.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Holding Au Pair 50.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Let’s Go Big Blue 3.00 1 2-1
11 12 Cut the Cord 2.00 2.1 4-1
13 14 Shadow Dragon 1.60 4.1 8-1
5 5 Straight Arrow 6.00 4.8 9-1
12 13 Callaloo 4.00 6.6 12-1
14 15 Big Bobby 12.00 7.8 15-1
1A 8 Uncle Curly 6.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Citizen K 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Agent Creed 6.00 SCRATCH
8 9 Ocala Dream 4.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Battle Scars 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Born Dancer 15.00 SCRATCH
1 3 King of Comedy 6.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Itsallcomintogetha 10.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Curly Larry and Mo 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Newport Bridge 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Ten Cent Town 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 G Munning 1.80 3.4 6-1
6 6 Dr. Settle’s Dream 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 My Last Mission 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 General Banker 3.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Trappe the Dream 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Debbie Darling 15.00 1 2-1
9 9 Shoppingatbloomies 12.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Charisse 8.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 My Royal Vow 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Purest Performance 30.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Benevolently 30.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Jannie Mae 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Lem Me Drink 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Arisaema 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Pinstripepizzo 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Montauk Mystique 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Follow the Fed 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bomb Squad 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Miss Barb 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Duneen Bay 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.