Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 15, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Exultation 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Golden Ale 20.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Jetovator 3.00 4 8-1
3 3 Gypsy King 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Lansdowne (GB) 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Cane Creek Road 8.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Redline 8.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Rager 5.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Prince Lancelot (GB) 5.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Greenteaze 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Into Yellowstone 2.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Ifuaintfirsturlast 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Eleven Out of Ten 4.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Sakura Blossom 5.00 6 11-1
1 1 Screaming Virginia 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Little Lady Lou 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mega Moon 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Beef Winslow 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Single Track Mind (IRE) 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Remote 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Rahm 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Worse Read Sanchez 5.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Touch of Zen 10.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Dual Threat 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Top Gun Tommy 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Rookie Mistake 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Molto Vivace 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Big Swede 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Handsome Gary 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Tembo 10.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Blameless 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kitty Kitana (GB) 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Gracelund Gray 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Very Scary 8.00 2 4-1
6 6 Linda’s Gift 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Arina (GER) 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Wed (FR) 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Magic Wanderer 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sand to Sea 2.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Rhyme Or Reason 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Bajan Bashert 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Scary Fast Ride 3.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Ryder’s Candy 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Magic Secret 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (California Flag H.) – California Flag H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kings River Knight 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Brickyard Ride 1.80 1.9 4-1
6 6 Lil Nas 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 None Above the Law 4.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Billy’s Bet 20.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Johnny Podres 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Irish Heatwave 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ipanema Girl 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Warren’s Show Bizz 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Boginskaya 6.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Exclusive Joni 5.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Yaleo 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Moroccan Queen 20.00 6 11-1
5 5 Round in Circles 20.00 7 13-1
7 7 Vulin 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Fast Investment 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Stylish Dress 6.00 SCRATCH
11 98 Miss Commander 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Golden Again 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Ko Olina 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Idessia 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Sensible Move 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Tizzy Twister 4.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 She’s a Bit Sassy 5.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 I Had That One Too 4.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Warrior Lady 8.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Councilwoman Jilly 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Concord Bridge 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Ario 12.00 1.9 3-1
2 2 Lake Superior 3.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Mr. Leasure 2.50 6.3 12-1
5 5 American Flyer 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Wynstock 6.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Malibu Rain 4.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Flight Way 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Annie’s Hope 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Warren’s Paradice 2.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Candy On Top 6.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Yvett’s Surprise 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Ashleys Sandcastle 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Jessebear 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Summer Lake 8.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Kaylas Joy 4.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Betsy Is the Code 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.