Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 15, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mentoring 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Trigger’s Bay 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Candy Street 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Forest Star 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Yorkville 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Snookered 4.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Hip to Your Tricks 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Ready On the Line 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Buck’s Fizz 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Valyrian Sky 1.60 1.7 3-1
6 6 Aziel 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Forest Flash 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Lakefield 4.50 5.5 10-1
5 5 Frac Dancer 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 Glorious Revenge 20.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Gun Court 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Souper Attentive 0 0-1
2 2 Souper Attentive 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Nantuckets Day 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Uncle Truly 2.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Vitality 6.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Silent and Violent 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Johnny Gold 8.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Jo Daddy 10.00 7 13-1
7 7 Hard Diamond 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dissectologist 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Puddingontheritz 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Colonel Mustard 2.50 4.4 8-1
10 10 It’s a Fluke 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Mighty Sea 4.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Where Is Essa 6.00 9 17-1
7 7 Posturing 20.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Uncaptured Moment 3.00 9.8 18-1
5 5 Society’s Thunder 12.00 9.8 19-1
9 9 Shamateur 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Midnight Mascot 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Sniper Jack 4.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Swift Delivery 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Dresden Row 3.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Competitive Touch 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Catholic Jackie 20.00 8 15-1
2 2 Beyond Adversity 20.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Tech Wizard 20.00 9 17-1
1 1 American Decision 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Maglev (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Armstrong 15.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Boston Tea Party 10.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 There’s No Joe 6.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Coinage 4.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Spirit Animal 3.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Told It All 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Last Dawn 20.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Bode’s Tipsy 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Perfect Speighty 12.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 The Great Oz 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Display S.) – Display S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 King of the Track 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Western Whirl 15.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Gotts Got It 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Two Ghosts 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Tripolina 3.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Magic Slips 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Break the Spell 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Bankingonamiracle 20.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Bolt Enoree 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Rosa 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Glorious Song S.) – Glorious Song S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rosa 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Uphill Dance 8.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Bolt Enoree 12.00 2 4-1
3 3 She’s Fire 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Zo Lee 15.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Witwatersrand 3.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 A Little Frisky 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Mystic Lake 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Tripolina 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ron’s Gizmo 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Meyer 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Lord of War 2.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Sir Sahib 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Cupid’s Claws 8.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Lil Bit Gangsta 6.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Canadian Pharoah 10.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Prideofdistinction 20.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Point to the Stars 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Wealllikedhim 0 0-1
8 8 Not So Quiet 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Light the Lamp 8.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Scoot Daddy 10.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Priceless Will 4.00 2 4-1
12 12 Aim for the Sky 12.00 2 4-1
5 5 City Mischief 3.00 3.9 7-1
16 16 La Belleza Negra 8.00 4 8-1
13 13 Spite Store 20.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Rat Portage 20.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Bossy Holiday 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Four Aces High 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Red Line Overdrive 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Maakwa 20.00 6.2 12-1
15 15 Wealllikedhim 20.00 13.2 25-1
6 6 Big Executive 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Forester’s Fortune 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.