Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, October 16, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Holy Berries 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Little Doyle 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Magnificent Pearl 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Shell Belle 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Bruno Barber Girl 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Cape Neddick 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Colette’s Spirit 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 K D Kakes 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fullmoonmagic 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Breezy Dance 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Shudabeenacowgirl 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Mikey’s Song 4.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Swans Island 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Gwen Stacy 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Diane’s Merlot 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Hurricane Bon 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Thearcherortheprey 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Tempted to Touch 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Jumpstart Love 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Ayeartoremember 4.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Map of Life 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Lucky Flush 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Lost in Thought 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Relishment 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Cartier Cat 2.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 We B Shackin 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Runningforhome 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Amount 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 He’ssosubtle 10.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 True Dakotan 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Upfor Parole 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Marvelousmoondance 2.50 2.2 4-1
10 10 Run for Karl 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Im Still Brave 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 It’s a Pity 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Road Call 15.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 The Grayt Pumpkin 15.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Union Park 10.00 7 13-1
12 12 Shea D Capture 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Cauteloso 15.00 9.1 17-1
6 6 E T’s Demon Fire 15.00 10.4 20-1
9 9 Out On the Town 12.00 11.3 21-1
14 14 Bubby Papermaker 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Gabagool 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Hexagon 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tiempo Perfecto 15.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Steerage 4.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Cowboy Jim 12.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Dr. Roger 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Union Reward 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Sharp Sensation 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Jackie’s Pride 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Disturbed 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Touring Maryanne 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Peyton’s College 5.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Cabra Chica 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Valuable Breigh 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Ms Merrabel 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Spanikopita 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Wishes and Dreams 20.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Broad Jumper 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 J D’s Vista 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Lulinda’s Heart 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Chelsea Wall 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Connelmaura 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Ambitiously Placed 4.00 5 10-1
6 6 Classy Miss 4.50 5.2 10-1
3 3 Scott Alaia 8.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Speightster’s Gold 8.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Luli’s Dancer 8.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Pure Elegance 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Talented Man 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 A C Expressway 3.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Rob the Rich 4.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Powerfully Built 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 River Dog 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Eagles Cry 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Practical Coach 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Movisitor 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Quickening 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sal N Louie 6.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Urmizzenthepoint 8.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Harley’s Charly 5.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Big John 3.00 1.9 3-1
7 7 Modern Midas 8.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Whiskeymac 4.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Brindisi 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Dadashev 20.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Liar Side Chat 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Haney Boys 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.