Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, October 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shake the Gold 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Dos de Oros 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Sheer Dominance 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Wontcatchhimtoday 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Glorious Macho Man 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Eddie W 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Beware of Pride 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Power Agenda 10.00 1 2-1
10 10 Mizzen Man 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Minxzhippsdontleye 12.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Sailor’s Return 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Haney Boys 2.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Give It a Go 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Tempestuous 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Wegottaguy 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Boom Boom Kaboom 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Vero Sun 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Rockin Freebee 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Uncle Jake 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mask Patrol 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Bump N Run 15.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Blazing Red 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Capital Conquest 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Smarten Up 15.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Mataro 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mr. Antonelli 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Eloquist 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Tops the Chart 3.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Allevare 8.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Styner 4.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Rich’s Way 5.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Dreaming of Gerry 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Roan Mountain 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Tycoon 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Hey Porter 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Semper Fi 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Celtic Treasure 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Et’s Magic Man 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 The Twins Sneakers 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Sensible Jim 4.50 4.1 8-1
9 9 Heffner 5.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Mega Charlie 10.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Jacohare 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mt Suribachi 15.00 9.8 18-1
5 5 Scoop Dawg 8.00 10.8 20-1
10 10 We Ready 8.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Pardsy 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Press My Bets 3.50 1.2 2-1
10 10 Dathoss 4.50 1.9 3-1
4 4 Nimble Beast 5.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Traders Luck 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Jebologist 10.00 4 8-1
9 9 Doctor Doom 15.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Lord Uhtred 20.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Chain Reaction 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Indirectly 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Camptown Races 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Tap First 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Bestsugardaddyever 0 0-1
1 1 Gun Collector 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Windsor Gold 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Bestsugardaddyever 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Classic Union 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Margin of Air 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Game Seven 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 McCrakens Ghost 3.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Louie’s Law 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 In Spades 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Quick Return 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 High Value 4.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Shivaree 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Depoli 15.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Manayunk 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Mr. Roundtree 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Sea Trident 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Meet Me At Mundis 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Masrour 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Dreaming of Smarty 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (M.p. Ballezzi Appreciation Mile S.) – M.p. Ballezzi Appreciation Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nimitz Class 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Offaly Cool 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Be Better 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 King Kumbalay 6.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 No Salt 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Dontmesawithme 20.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Large 20.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Genghis 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Magic Michael 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 No Sabe Nada 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Doppelganger 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 People Force 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 B B Bad 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Neigh Dude 8.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Cousin Andrew 3.50 2.9 5-1
8 8 Nick the Cardshark 6.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 U U Star 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Sophos 12.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Amigos Guitar 12.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Wagon Boss 4.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Hide the Ransom 12.00 10.8 20-1
6 6 Jarlian 12.00 11 21-1
9 9 Strong Breeze 10.00 12 23-1
5 5 Saponara 6.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.