Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shake the Gold | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dos de Oros | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sheer Dominance | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wontcatchhimtoday | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glorious Macho Man | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eddie W | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beware of Pride | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Power Agenda | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mizzen Man | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Minxzhippsdontleye | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sailor’s Return | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Haney Boys | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Give It a Go | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tempestuous | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wegottaguy | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vero Sun | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rockin Freebee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Jake | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mask Patrol | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bump N Run | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blazing Red | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Capital Conquest | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smarten Up | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mataro | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Antonelli | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Eloquist | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tops the Chart | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Allevare | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Styner | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rich’s Way | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dreaming of Gerry | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roan Mountain | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tycoon | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hey Porter | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Semper Fi | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Celtic Treasure | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Et’s Magic Man | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Twins Sneakers | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sensible Jim | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Heffner | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mega Charlie | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jacohare | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mt Suribachi | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scoop Dawg | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | We Ready | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Pardsy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Press My Bets | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dathoss | 4.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nimble Beast | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Traders Luck | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jebologist | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Doctor Doom | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lord Uhtred | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chain Reaction | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indirectly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Camptown Races | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tap First | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bestsugardaddyever | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Gun Collector | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Windsor Gold | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bestsugardaddyever | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Union | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Margin of Air | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Game Seven | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | McCrakens Ghost | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Louie’s Law | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | In Spades | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Quick Return | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High Value | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shivaree | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Depoli | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Manayunk | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Roundtree | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sea Trident | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Meet Me At Mundis | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Masrour | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dreaming of Smarty | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (M.p. Ballezzi Appreciation Mile S.) – M.p. Ballezzi Appreciation Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nimitz Class | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Offaly Cool | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Be Better | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King Kumbalay | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Salt | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dontmesawithme | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Large | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Genghis | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Magic Michael | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | No Sabe Nada | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Doppelganger | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | People Force | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | B B Bad | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Neigh Dude | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cousin Andrew | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nick the Cardshark | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | U U Star | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sophos | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Amigos Guitar | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Wagon Boss | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hide the Ransom | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jarlian | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Strong Breeze | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saponara | 6.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.