Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Prince Simba 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Bella’s Gatsby 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Ghost Cowboy 6.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Quiet as Midnight 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Presumptive Closer 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Wings of Gold 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Lost Gold 12.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Wildcard Gold 20.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Deputy Knight 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Fabled Ruler 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Mor Big Lee 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Kahaal 8.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Mizspelt 8.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Gildersleeve 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Risktaker 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Custom Prayer 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Easy Chance 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Kinlee’s Song 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Carlos’ Blast 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Classic Red Racer 20.00 7.7 14-1
12 12 Huffs Taz a Boo 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Byathread 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Heza Sexy Zong 12.00 1 2-1
10 10 Apriority Avenger 6.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Racy Bille 10.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Sonya Knows Better 8.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Gray Dane 12.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Sassi D 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Saucer Eyes 20.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Big Tap Baby 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Tincan Cat 15.00 9.5 18-1
3 3 Native Star 3.50 10 19-1
12 12 Weilaree 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Poppa Magic 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Why Texas Why 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Good by Faith 4.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 She’s Extra 5.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Long Legged Lady 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Ready for Thunder 6.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Sheza Hot Storm 10.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Paris Garters 15.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Gritty Tornado 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Magic Glass 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Jumpin Judy 2.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Allotrope 3.50 3.7 7-1
9 9 Acela Express 6.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Fire Vision 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Lunch Lady 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 She’s My Louie V. 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Oochie 12.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Apriority Girl 15.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Chickietown Star 20.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Cherry Star 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Boardwalk Queen 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Thrill Ride 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Target Practice 15.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Fancy Paynter 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Herzen 12.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Clever Union 4.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Texas Titan 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Time to Move 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Gottatakehimto 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Now Now Man 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Tapalist 5.00 7.7 14-1
12 12 Revenir 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Overtaxed 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hulk 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Bonus Appreciation 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Moro Mafia 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Wings for Eno 10.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Joey’s Lightening 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Janet’s Devil 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Mr Elvin 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Payoff Cycle 8.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Michael’s Bad Boy 20.00 7.5 14-1
12 12 Nocomet 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Chicken Truck 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Rush the Colors 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Half Full 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Marks Promise 2.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Geaux Sugar 5.00 4 8-1
7 7 Holy Bayou 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Bind Faith 10.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Sono 6.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Farewell Time 15.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Heza Priority 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Holiday Run 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Truvy’s Bandit 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Crafty One 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Wildcats’s Meow 4.50 3.3 6-1
10 10 Chelsea’s Glory 12.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Mr. Numero Uno 15.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Tyler’s Sensation 20.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Blondie Fix It 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Holly’s Trip 10.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 R T’s Midnight 8.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.