Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jackie’s Pride 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Boys and Bullets 15.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Carpe All Day 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Almond Cider 4.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Bluey 4.00 5 9-1
5 5 Luckily Leyton 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Caddy Man 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Wishing Ona Prayer 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Jolene Jolene 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Runnin Redbird 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Super Duper Fly 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Old Head 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Sirenetta 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Akna 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lookinatlightening 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Heart Light 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Titanic Rose 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Shea On a Mission 12.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Total Discretion 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Iyiyi 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Goldieness 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Catch the Smoke 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Brother Brad 3.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Shpilkes 4.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Batter Up Bud 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Dixie’s Two Stents 3.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Roman Empire 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 In Spades 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Midnight Cat 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Bobby’s Candy 6.00 4 7-1
5 5 Spirit’s Hero 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Jewels in the Bay 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Saratoga Banker 3.50 6.1 12-1
6 6 If We Get Lucky 4.50 6.3 12-1
3 3 Bronx Tale 4.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Hot Love 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Divine Miracle 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 It’s Game Time 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Fast Breakin Cash 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Yes Sir Colonel 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Ron Don Scorese 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Hey Porter 6.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Awesome Launch 6.00 7 13-1
3 3 Kingsville 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nancy Spain 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Wild Girl 10.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Expectations Met 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Cast Your Net 10.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Spatial Reality 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Confirmed Star 3.50 6.5 12-1
1 1 Midnight Wonder 10.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Cocoa’s Vivian 4.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Flirting 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Our Uptown Girl 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Boss Like Beth 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Golden Moonlight 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Moonboots 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Jezebel Jade 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 More Ransom 15.00 4 8-1
5 5 Shetalkstomuch 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Flight 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ain’t Wasting Time 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Time to Cruise 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Civil War 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Traffic Master 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Ahsad 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Supreme Being 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Lemon Creek Louie 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sea Trident 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ebben 2.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Geebert 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Dark Timber 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Fast Bob 6.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Honorary Degree 5.00 5 9-1
6 6 Zip It Scotty 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Get Set 8.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Tribal Notion 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.