Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Vanished 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Paris Style (FR) 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Dreaming of Mo 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Miss Our Hero 3.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Party At Grants 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Rayya Valentine 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 3 Chili Flag (FR) 0.60 1 2-1
2 1 Tass 12.00 2.7 5-1
1A 7 Avenue Niel (IRE) 0.60 2.9 6-1
3 2 Tic Tic Tic Boom 15.00 3 6-1
4 4 Unruly Julie 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Implicated 2.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Stern Chaser 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 8 Bustin Bay 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Crowding Out 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Just a Nyquist 4.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Lady Shylock 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Simple Sugar 8.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 High School Crush 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Synonymous 15.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Sweet as Sugar 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Dufresne 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Khali Magic 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Dream Central 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Cousin Kristi 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Tempermental 8.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Ribot’s Valentine 15.00 8 15-1
8 8 Itsakeyper 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Theodora Grace 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Masterof the Tunes 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Road to Remember 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Social Whirl 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sue Ellen Mishkin 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mz Big Bucks 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 A Knight’s Courage 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Khadullah 3.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 One Witheverything 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Smile Takes Charge 6.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Solo in Paris 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Running Lucky 20.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Morq 8.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 King Khali 12.00 7.7 14-1
10 10 Seba M 10.00 8 15-1
8 8 Star Sequence 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Emaraaty (GB) 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Fort Washington 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Dancin in Da’nile 20.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 James Aloysius 5.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 Daunt 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Napoleonic War 6.00 4.4 8-1
12 12 Great King (FR) 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Jamie Dreams 30.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Midnight Trouble 30.00 9.7 18-1
15 15 Bourbon Calling 2.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Sagamore Mischief 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Wicked Finn 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Set Sail 1.80 SCRATCH
4 4 Ari Gold 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Cowboy Justice (GB) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sail With the Wind 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Kara Para 2.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Carbon 10.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Dashing Della 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Shesascoldasice 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Big Hazel 6.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Lavon 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Racing Colors 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Glen Cove S.) – Glen Cove S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Determined Jester 15.00 1 2-1
2 2 Danse Macabre 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lady Beth 8.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Love Appeals 4.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Dontlookbackatall 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Personal Pursuit 6.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Ticker Tape Home 10.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Beauty of the Sea 15.00 4 7-1
1 1 Zoinnocent (IRE) 50.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Future Is Now 8.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 Plentitude 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Gatita Suave 50.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Tappin Josie 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Violet Gibson (IRE) 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Queen of the Mud (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cyber Ninja 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Royal Spirit 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Francesco Clemente (IRE) 2.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Swore 4.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Hold the Salsa 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Fatima’s Blessing 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Classic Creation 15.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Ghostlyprince 15.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Omni King 20.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 My Imagination 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Quality Chic 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Paddington 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.