Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Countrygirl Pride 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Rain of Blessing 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 Pink Sunset 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Make Mine a Stella 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Home Town Fav 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Steph’s Top Nick 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wild Alex 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Little Lance 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Prince Fred 1.80 2.8 5-1
4 4 Victoria’s Devine 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Dream River 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Paco the Taco Man 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fast Mule 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Circle of Courage 12.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Harper’s Do 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 My Cajun Lady 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Push 12.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Dorothy’s the Boss 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 My Jo Jo 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Always Forward 12.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Crimson Lille 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Awesome View 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Marion Grace 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Akemi 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Anonymously 3.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Fortunata Italia 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Illusion of Hope 8.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 True Atka 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Clever Tiger 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Taporical 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Mithridates 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Charlie Tough 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Malibu Brad 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Perrotto 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Paynter’s Prodigy 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Maximum Color 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Checkcashingconnie 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sansa Ariel 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Dance Step 10.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 R Love On the Run 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Ellie Victorina 8.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 My True Passion 10.00 6 11-1
6 6 Linahaspecshoes 5.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Rationalmillennial 12.00 7 13-1
2 2 Prussian Blue 20.00 7 13-1
10 10 Merger of Equals 12.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Child Proof 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Deputy Connect 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Steady John 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Hay Chief 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Ranseur 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Entrust 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 That Sun of a Gun 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Bali Rolling Tide 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Shellback 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Night Ops 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hibachi 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Boondoggle 10.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Miracle Silver 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Ghostinyou 2.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Mine to Hold 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Zonic 8.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.