Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sermononthemount | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hard to Deny | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Money Machine | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Le Roy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mias Moonbeam | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cool Individual | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nate’s Revenge | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spheroid | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dealin’ Stelen | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Temprano | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pinch Assault | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Lagoon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wheels | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aux Arcs | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bordeaux Red | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valdina Dreams | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Triple Red Aces | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liberty’s Hauler | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Patio’s Porch | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nineteen Hundred | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wicked Tough | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Directional | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | The Boyz Priority | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Olivia G | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lawless Times | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lightening Mo | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Alexis | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jax’s Starry Bride | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luyv | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tap Iron Fist | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flawless Takeover | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Craftroom | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spooky Guitar | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sparkle City | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Beat the Double | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mydealoftheday | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Custom Darling | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aggie Doctor | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Janisthebeauty | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twn Ms Midship | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Adeau | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barranca | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crypto Brave | 3.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Target Vision | 2.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Runtoday | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zultan | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mustafa | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Oxxon | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shut Up Man | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smart Analysis | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Uncle Brad | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Quality | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It’s a Bird | 6.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Ace | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kurt’s Choice | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Pitale | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Alleva | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gerard | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tizhotndusty | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hail State | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mister K | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | In the Arch | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Motataabeq | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hurts So Bad | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | More Like It | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Carpe Horseshoe | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Waters of Merom | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tease Me Not | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cave Creek | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Riobella | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lorraine’s Legacy | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forgotten Fortune | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Lonelyhearts | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Michelles Lil Star | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | That’s My Mama | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Priority | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seriously Sam | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blessed Assurance | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Catcake | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cute Dinero Queen | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Luminous Flight | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Vidalia | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Run Away Samari | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jennysbigbaby | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | E R’s Mireya | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wheels Like Nala | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flying I | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Share the Doe | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grace’s Vision | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Blink Twice | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lil Party Crasher | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Gray | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sense of Heart | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Serena’s Serenade | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.