Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Determined Lilly 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Vanilla Bean 4.50 2 4-1
10 10 Lakeside Getaway 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Little Nutter 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Hopeful Cure 50.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Amunet 3.50 4.8 9-1
9 9 Cush Effect 15.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Pasta Salad Rhonda 4.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Bessie Blue 15.00 8.5 16-1
12 12 Neon City 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Chez Soleil 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Total Bliss 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Tanka Tough 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Call Me Vivian 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Landon Jack 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Kbcya Later 1.80 2 4-1
4 4 Flight of Bourbon 30.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 By Its Absence 6.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Tuna N Stamps 6.00 4 7-1
3 3 Prins Fire 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Bold Honor 30.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Dr Rags 30.00 7 13-1
7 7 Disputed Notion 15.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Steele Money 15.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Ice Cold Frosty 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Duckpins 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Bode’s Heritage 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Glossamer 10.00 1.3 2-1
11 11 Mary Jane Chrome 2.50 1.3 3-1
9 9 Daily Planet 8.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Maria’s Honor 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Qia 15.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Hot Choice 20.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Earley Rose 30.00 6 11-1
10 10 Water Witch 6.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 The Haunted Room 30.00 7 13-1
6 6 Twelveo’clockrock 20.00 7.4 14-1
13 13 Inside the Box 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Osa 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Getaway Palace 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Uncle Irish 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mose Perfect 4.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Irish Exit 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 It’s Viper 2.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Feeling Woozy 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Shackled Love 3.50 6.4 12-1
4 4 John the Bear 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Chuck Willis (IRE) 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Deep Cover 5.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Justwaveandsmile 12.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Destin’s Mission 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 By the Sey Shore 10.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Embolden 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Tauber 20.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Sue Loves Barbados 15.00 5 9-1
9 9 Indian Lake 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Alexis S 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Bondiva 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Golden Charm 10.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Flitter 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Tea Rose 20.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Quit Quay 20.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Conceptualize 2.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 Graceful Union 3.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Cookie Bank 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Not a Bother 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Champlain’s Dream 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 There Are No Words 2.00 1 2-1
10 10 Wish Me Home 6.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Swan Lake 10.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Q F Seventy Five 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 The Addison Pour 3.50 2 4-1
9 9 Tom Hagen 30.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Wow Whata Summer 15.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Lady Outofthe Blue 30.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 Spycraft 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Eldest Son 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Marched 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hellman 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Food Foodie 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Gambling Tzar 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Espresso Lungo 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Daredavite 20.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Transfer the Funds 10.00 5 10-1
2 2 Dream of Blessings 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.