Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ya Mar 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lantana Lady 2.00 2 4-1
6 6 Know How (GB) 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Retail Therapist 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Remembering Rhoda 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Perfect Provision 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Silent Guroo 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Floral 20.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Kitten’s Romance 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Lady Maeve (IRE) 5.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Umneyaat 12.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Bayou Belle 10.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Make No Mistake 12.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Emerald Lake 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Lois Len 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Sense You Left 3.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Pluie d’Avril 20.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Elegant Taste 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Endorphin Rush 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Cheeky Pint 1.60 2.7 5-1
7 7 Text Me Up 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Liplock 3.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Stole the Ring 10.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Phil in Echo 5.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Nadiabizniz 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Golden Suzie 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Crash the Crease 12.00 1.1 2-1
11 11 Ravello Beauty 3.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Serenading Hall 20.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Hallanvaara 20.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 P. S. Rising Star 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Sharp Aza Rainbow 10.00 5 9-1
10 10 Menagerie 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Moon Pool 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Reins of Purple 10.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Bequia 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dynamic Strike 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Glenrosa 3.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Blue Tango 10.00 1.3 3-1
9 9 Under Budget 6.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 Nacho Girl 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Sugar Drop 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Not Today 12.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Who’s That Baby 4.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Hyper Holiday 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bizymaline 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Spider Belle 3.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Mosler’s Image 2.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Buttered Toast 10.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Gabby Squared 12.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Frankie’s Girl 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Erasmo’s Girl 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Ami’s Link 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mr Crowley 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Commander Joe 20.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Hell Bent 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Native Prince 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Just Start Me Up 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Sunrise Drive 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Grand Journey 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Jack 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Magic Tomahawk 4.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Celentano 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Rock Bullet 3.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Wickedblackbullet 12.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Secret Storm 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Hygge 10.00 7 13-1
1 1 Shamrock Ambasador 6.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Coronation Boy 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.