Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 20, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Scat Tu Tap 12.00 1 2-1
8 10 New York Strong 1.00 1.6 3-1
10 12 Cloud Forest 3.50 3.1 6-1
9 11 Treble Clef 4.50 4.3 8-1
4 3 Egypt 15.00 7.3 14-1
2 4 Growth Capital 0.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Triumphant Road 20.00 SCRATCH
1 2 Jamestown 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 9 Wild Guess 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Torigo 3.00 SCRATCH
3 1 Party With Smarty 30.00 SCRATCH
2B 8 Right to Win (IRE) 0.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Miss Domina 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Meraviglioso 3.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Diva Banker 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Queen Arella 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Alpine Queen 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Jackie the Joker 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Beautiful Karen 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Icy Flavor 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Courageoous Oh La 10.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Kreesa 6.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Empire Sky 10.00 3 6-1
14 14 Factually Correct 12.00 3.5 7-1
13 13 Blame It On Daddy 10.00 4.5 9-1
16 16 Playingwithmatches 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Dreampoint 20.00 5 9-1
11 11 Thank You Jon 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 The Cobbler 30.00 7.1 13-1
15 15 Mr. Kringle 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 War Terminator 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sinful Dancer 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Ortus 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Sandrone 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Image of Quality 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 16 Most of All 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Magic Eight Ball 12.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 True Myth 8.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Past Tense 8.00 11.3 21-1
12 12 Not Tonight Joe 20.00 11.7 22-1
7 7 Dancing Dean 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lucevan La Stelle 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Channel Loop 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Style Points 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Just Jules 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 King’s Daughter 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Day Away 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Katherine Thomas 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Way to Be Marie 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Dynamic Pricing (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Belle Gambe (IRE) 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sun and Wind 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Bornforgreatness 12.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Regenerator 10.00 3.9 7-1
13 13 Poseidon’s Mist 4.50 5.2 10-1
11 11 Princess Becca 5.00 5.4 10-1
12 12 Alotta Jays 10.00 5.6 11-1
14 14 Mel’s Angel 12.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Notafraidtocharge 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Ella Speed 4.50 7.1 13-1
2 2 Let’s Connect 8.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Song of Solomini 30.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Lone Star Wildcat 15.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Santagata 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Saratoga Smokeshow 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Knickerbocker S.) – Knickerbocker S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 King Cause 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Commandeer 8.00 1.3 3-1
8 8 Pioneering Spirit 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Wicked Finn 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Siege of Boston 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 St Anthony 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Rockemperor (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Master Piece (CHI) 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Quiet Wisdom 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 Perliano 4.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Bali Amour 30.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Prophetic 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Blue Marble 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Jeffersons Ocean 20.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Podere 12.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 This Time Yes 12.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 State of Readiness 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bumper 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bourbon Chase 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Uncle Marty 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Amedeus Music 3.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Veterans Beach 12.00 3 6-1
4 4 Mama’s Gold 5.00 4 7-1
6 6 Here’s Waldo 15.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Boys Code 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Jackson Heights 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Negra Gata 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Spun Special 2.50 2.5 5-1
11 11 Boston Strong Mama 6.00 4.6 9-1
13 13 Party Is Over 8.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Bourbon and Honey 10.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Lady Astoria 15.00 9.9 19-1
8 8 Exotic Cat 50.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Wish List 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mo Damorninggrouch 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Words of Praise 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Keep It Sexy 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Royal Misconduct 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Iguazu (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.