Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 20, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Heartthrob Halo 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Callinginthenight 4.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Graham ‘s Cruiser 8.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Monitor Mills 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Sweet Rachel 15.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Flit N Flot Time 5.00 3 6-1
6 6 Mind On My Money 8.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 J C’s in Town 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 My Book 12.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Caeus in Pasadena 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Joeboy 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bankroll 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Carlos Loves Tee 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Dixie Penny 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Bows N Lace 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Fasted 10.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Iron Lotus 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Freezer Burn 10.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Proud Victoria 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Astrology Girl 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Quitegirl 10.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Miss Nimbus 3.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Marion Roses Girl 12.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Rebecca’s Dream 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Lexi’s Fury 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Rachel’s Gem 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Eve Eve 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Discreet Deal 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Creekside 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Boy Charlie 2.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Reddingandlee 4.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Ranch Water 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Jays Holiday 6.00 6 11-1
3 3 Josan 15.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Run On Aces 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Texas Turbine 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Barsinview 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Barahin 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Priced Right 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Double Trap 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Ironical 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 One Tough Charlie 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Homeland Messa 15.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Sea Force 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Corot 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Codetowin 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Gentleman’s Secret 3.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 His Giant 5.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Hunters Ghost 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Golden Palace 5.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Boyfriend Material 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Jrue Breeze 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Ourperfectprince 5.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Itwasthisbig 4.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Chili Red 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Golduster 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Peanut N Ike 6.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 God’s Gold 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Hullinahurry 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 G E H Giants Way 15.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Total Surprise 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Custom Crescent 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Langs Day 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Highland Creek 4.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 High Cruise 5.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Palatial Times 15.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Home Visit 8.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Graves Mill Road 10.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Extirpator 6.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Hard Attack 12.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Meant for Me 15.00 9.5 18-1
4 4 Dial in for Lute 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mr. Shorty 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Scat Free 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Caught Off Guard 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 Philanthroper 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Monsieur Candy 4.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Puppeteer 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Itzcoatl 15.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 More Than Destiny 20.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Konteekee 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Defiant Malice 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Patek 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Motor City 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.