Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 20, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Quintecents 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Crypto Man 1.60 2.3 4-1
7 6 Hard Times 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Nobel Gary 15.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Player B 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Shadow Creek (IRE) 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 98 Ghost Coast 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Just Is 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Eltonsingsanother 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Chevy Girl 10.00 3 6-1
6 6 Rosie Ann Rules 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 Smiling Amy 12.00 3 6-1
3 3 Come Join the Band 3.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 One Smokin Moon 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Aventapp 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Boss Lady 2.00 1.3 2-1
5 4 Red Diamond 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Corporal Violette (IRE) 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Violet Storm 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 98 R Girl’s Werth It 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Barbera 1.80 1 2-1
3 2 Rose Girl 4.50 1.6 3-1
2 1 Hot Rod Mama 1.80 2.5 5-1
4 3 Sugar Sugar 1.60 3.3 6-1
1 98 Just a Little Luck 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Princess Midnight 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Port Ellen (IRE) 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Viewers Discretion 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Christina’s Candy 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Happyasaclam (IRE) 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Nicely Curved 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Mahina 6.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Vulin 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Satellite Heart 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Beau Soleil 3.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Super Enticing 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Misty Muppet 2.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Dreaming of Hope 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Dorie Miller 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Turn On The Jets (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Unconquerable Keen (IRE) 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 See Through It 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Sumter 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Sharp Aza Tack 4.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Barristan The Bold (GB) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Last Call Paul 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Halo Uncle 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Mr Big Bucks 2.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Fact Or Fiction 30.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Private Gem 4.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Grazen Boy 5.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Thirsty Lov 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Mischievous Dylan 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 O K Rose 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ebok’s Dream Girl 10.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Kitzkaty 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Asada Fries 2.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Beautiful Janet 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Cocktail Cutie 5.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Lady Lithesome 4.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Wailea Sunset 6.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Lookatherglide 12.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.