Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Utamaro 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Kentucky Joker 0.60 1.3 2-1
6 6 Sinaloa 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Munny for Nuthin 4.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Waflr 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Perfect Outcome 15.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Academy Choice 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Value Area 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Matagora Bay 6.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Don’t Say It 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Street View 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Progeny 15.00 3 6-1
6 6 Gun Song 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 La Picasita 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Morning Cup 0.50 1 2-1
5 5 Makar 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Gun Maestro 4.50 4 8-1
3 3 M B’s Munning 20.00 5 9-1
1 1 Itsalittlebitfunny 30.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 With Know Name 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Guntown 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Laughing Boy 10.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Devil’s Cay 15.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Jester’s Song 12.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Complete Agenda 3.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Anthracite 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Rock the Weekend 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Born a Gambler 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Winning Connection 12.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Gut Feeling 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Durkin’s Call 3.50 1 2-1
3 2 Lord Gatling 20.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Cool Quartet 4.50 3.5 7-1
2 1 Forty Two Ace 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 5 Dontbelate 10.00 6 11-1
10 10 Goldini 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 4 Datesfreedom 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 3 Hang Tight 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Prince of Pharoahs 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bold Victory 4.50 SCRATCH
1A 11 Jumpster 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rathmore 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Aleah Aleah 12.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 J D Factor 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Union Bulldog 2.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Downing Street 6.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 For Your Pleasure 3.50 6.4 12-1
4 4 Speed Control 8.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Have You Heard 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 What’s Up Doc 8.00 1 2-1
9 9 Thunderian 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Brooklyn Diamonds 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Ice Road 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Clubhouse 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Rally Squirrel 30.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Berlone 8.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Memphis 6.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Magical Ways 12.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Baron’s Legacy 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Macallan 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Signator 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Cape Trafalgar 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Paddington 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Quality Chic 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Classic Mark 10.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Luni Sima 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Rocco Strong 12.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Cascais 4.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Book of Wisdom 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 My Kinda Mischief 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Tavin 5.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Ashburn Alley 8.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Beach Cruiser 4.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Mysaria 15.00 8 15-1
12 12 Miss Bourbon 10.00 8 15-1
2 2 Photo Finish 20.00 8 15-1
1 1 La Indecente 20.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Going for Glory 15.00 9.5 18-1
9 9 Stormy Disco 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 In the End 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Love Thyself 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.