Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chez Soleil | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jess’s Gypsy Girl | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quantico Creek | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fire At Midnight | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Believe in Freedom | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Civil Notion | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chasing Artemis | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Forest Survivor | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bustinupishardtodo | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Claw | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pepe and Heywood | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tankinator | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Great Go Go | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Positively Awesome | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Smooth Player | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arrow Speed | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eddie Felson | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pappy’s Revenge | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Evasive Moves | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crown That Saint | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Villegas Swing | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drama’s Prayer | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Austin From Boston | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Monday | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Great Gazoo | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Putthepastbehind | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dart | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Maestro | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | On Our Way Boyz | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Manner | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awkward Pause | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Smoak | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Code Name Brody | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Once Stood Alone | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Herself | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Fantasy | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chloe Rose | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Las Olas | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chalk Hill | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Party Monster | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lord Berrier | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rebel Empire | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aggrandize | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hushion | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Instigated | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sovereign of Speed | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Brown Shoes | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Redeem Eddie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | The Sweaty Fox | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mystic Storm | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Nervous Now | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Tough Dame | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bodacious Bren | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hidden Cache | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Soul of the Beast | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.