Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Chez Soleil 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Jess’s Gypsy Girl 8.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Quantico Creek 2.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Fire At Midnight 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Believe in Freedom 3.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Civil Notion 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Chasing Artemis 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Forest Survivor 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bustinupishardtodo 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Claw 10.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Pepe and Heywood 3.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Tankinator 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Great Go Go 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Positively Awesome 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Smooth Player 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Arrow Speed 2.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Eddie Felson 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Pappy’s Revenge 8.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Evasive Moves 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Crown That Saint 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Villegas Swing 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Drama’s Prayer 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Austin From Boston 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Magic Monday 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 The Great Gazoo 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Putthepastbehind 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dart 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Call Me Maestro 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 On Our Way Boyz 4.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Grand Manner 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Awkward Pause 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Sir Smoak 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Code Name Brody 10.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 I Once Stood Alone 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tiz Herself 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Our Fantasy 3.50 4 8-1
1 1 Chloe Rose 4.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 One Las Olas 8.00 5.6 10-1
4 4 Chalk Hill 6.00 6 11-1
5 5 Party Monster 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lord Berrier 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Rebel Empire 1.60 1.7 3-1
5 5 Aggrandize 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Hushion 10.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Instigated 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Sovereign of Speed 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Big Brown Shoes 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Redeem Eddie 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 The Sweaty Fox 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mystic Storm 8.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 I’m Nervous Now 6.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 One Tough Dame 2.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Bodacious Bren 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Hidden Cache 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Soul of the Beast 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.