Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | True Princess | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Over Doer | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Becca | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Highly Grand | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cinco Gal | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mariah | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warm Fuzzies | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Niceproblemtohave | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bri | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mean American | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ann’s Storm | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Betison | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Aces | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beyond d’Oro | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Emmas Ruler | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hymn for Carlos | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Out Runner | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gatsby’s Fortune | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Native Requite | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Top Priority | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Road | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pound Out a Deal | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magnolia Speed | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Frenetic Day | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Whatta Life | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tennessee Moon | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Miss Sunshine | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Is Hot | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ivy Abad Girl | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Finishwhatustarted | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pippa’s Prospect | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cheer Up | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Preach It Girl | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m All Mixed Up | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Briartown | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shawn’s Solving | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chenti | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nephi | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beaudean | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rocky Boy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shameful Alliance | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Myfriendsawinner | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ourperfectprincess | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Juliard Honor | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jazz Brunch | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Commercial Flash | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lots of Gold | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bet On Bourbon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rose Palace | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clay’s Moon Stone | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Another Hot Mess | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fired Up Tiger | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Izatiz | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | It’sfiftyshadetime | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eileen Alexandra | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pickin Ana Grinnin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Alliaceous | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Bear Arms | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lutie Mo | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shes a Lucky Rebel | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Follow the Saint | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mi Lia | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Little Girl | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Girl Thirsty | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run Natalie Run | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | She’s Gone d’Wild | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | World War | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Foolish Steve | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eisenstaedt | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eliot Ness | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Duke of Blue Ridge | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Izzy’s Baby Boy | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Get Witt Gone | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mamacallmeboo | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charming Charlie | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vim and Vigor | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.