Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Summer Storm Stric 0 0-1
6 6 Sanpirodu 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Summer Storm Stric 4.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Cheer Coach 3.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Atomico 5.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Inspiring Honor 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 We Got This 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Cross Exam 4.50 6.3 12-1
1 1 Hydrologist 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Macuto 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dancing Doll 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Miss Mac Mac 10.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Countless Dreams 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Shall Return 5.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Rigby 3.50 5.4 10-1
7 7 Awesome Apeal 15.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Trotting Gear 5.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Shes a Gift 4.50 7.1 13-1
2 2 Mudshaft 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kozem 1.00 1 2-1
6 6 Danneel 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Holy Kingdom 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 My Sarasota Queen 6.00 5 10-1
8 8 Bahamian Baby 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Mochi Girl 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Devine Shakti 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Amy the Butcher 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bedtime Story 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Flag Woman 2.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Big Band Luzziann 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Magic Moonstar 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Sonicus 3.50 4 8-1
1 1 Peach Cobbler 15.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 A Kiss for Khozan 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sir Flash 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Molinero 20.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Wild Caught 5.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Jabran 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Seeking to Collect 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Wemby 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Great Lilo 12.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Cardinale 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mish 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Central Park 20.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Doc Amster 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Float On 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Morgan Point 8.00 5 9-1
9 9 Black Belt 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Coppermaster 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Threethirtythree 20.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Sir Ollie 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Big Martini 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 X Y Point 4.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Classic Car Wash 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Double Play King 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Desert Ruler 10.00 7 13-1
6 6 Slim Man 20.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Bird Wildcat 5.00 8 15-1
8 8 Shaq Diesel 20.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Awesome Flay 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Ftboa Florida Sire Susan’s Girl S.) – Ftboa Florida Sire Susan’s Girl S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
R Harper Rose 0 0-1
11 11 R Harper Rose 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Mist 8.00 4.7 9-1
12 12 Honey Dijon 4.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Unrelentless 8.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Bucchera 20.00 8 15-1
4 4 Haunted 15.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Fields of Green 20.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Reina Mar 20.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 Jazzin 30.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Kitty’s Pretty 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Welcome Back 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Dancing N Dixie 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Gil Campbell Memorial H.) – Gil Campbell Memorial H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Octane 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Big and Classy 3.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Dean Delivers 1.40 1.5 3-1
8 8 Boca Boy 20.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Handy Dandy 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Slim Slow Slider 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Big Daddy Dave 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Noble Drama 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 The Skipper Too 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Khozeiress 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Ftboa Florida Sire Affirmed S.) – Ftboa Florida Sire Affirmed S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bentornato 1.80 1 2-1
10 10 Mattingly 6.00 4 8-1
9 9 Hurricane Nelson 2.50 4.2 8-1
12 12 Sound of the Beast 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Esperon 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Lasso 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Rye’s My Guy 20.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Secret Lover 20.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Roar Ready 20.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Echo Lane 30.00 9 17-1
6 6 Squints 20.00 9.3 18-1
8 8 Seminole Chief 15.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tiz Romantic 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 The Best Distance 3.50 4 8-1
4 4 What Say Thee 4.50 4.6 9-1
9 9 Space Runner 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Sigrun Fast Boy 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Surrogate 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Uno Tiger 10.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Lord Eddard Stark 8.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Mongolian Apple 30.00 6.5 12-1
13 13 Sunshine Frolic 12.00 9 17-1
11 11 Kartano 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Swashbuckle 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Hakkimi (CHI) 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.