Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Summer Storm Stric | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Sanpirodu | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Summer Storm Stric | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cheer Coach | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Atomico | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Inspiring Honor | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | We Got This | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cross Exam | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hydrologist | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Macuto | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Doll | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Mac Mac | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Countless Dreams | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shall Return | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rigby | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Apeal | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trotting Gear | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shes a Gift | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mudshaft | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kozem | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Danneel | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Kingdom | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Sarasota Queen | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bahamian Baby | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mochi Girl | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Devine Shakti | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Amy the Butcher | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bedtime Story | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flag Woman | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Band Luzziann | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Moonstar | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sonicus | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Peach Cobbler | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Kiss for Khozan | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sir Flash | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Molinero | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Caught | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jabran | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seeking to Collect | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wemby | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Great Lilo | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cardinale | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mish | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Central Park | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doc Amster | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Float On | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morgan Point | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Black Belt | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Coppermaster | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Threethirtythree | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Ollie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Martini | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | X Y Point | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Classic Car Wash | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Double Play King | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Desert Ruler | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slim Man | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bird Wildcat | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shaq Diesel | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Flay | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Ftboa Florida Sire Susan’s Girl S.) – Ftboa Florida Sire Susan’s Girl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R Harper Rose | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 11 | 11 | R Harper Rose | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mist | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Honey Dijon | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unrelentless | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bucchera | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Haunted | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fields of Green | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reina Mar | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jazzin | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kitty’s Pretty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Welcome Back | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dancing N Dixie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Gil Campbell Memorial H.) – Gil Campbell Memorial H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Octane | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big and Classy | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dean Delivers | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boca Boy | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Handy Dandy | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Slim Slow Slider | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Daddy Dave | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Drama | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Skipper Too | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Khozeiress | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Ftboa Florida Sire Affirmed S.) – Ftboa Florida Sire Affirmed S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bentornato | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mattingly | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hurricane Nelson | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sound of the Beast | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Esperon | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lasso | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rye’s My Guy | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Secret Lover | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roar Ready | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Echo Lane | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Squints | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seminole Chief | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Romantic | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Best Distance | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | What Say Thee | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Space Runner | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sigrun Fast Boy | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Surrogate | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uno Tiger | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lord Eddard Stark | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mongolian Apple | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sunshine Frolic | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kartano | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Swashbuckle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hakkimi (CHI) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.