Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Science (IRE) 12.00 1 2-1
8 8 Kobe Tough 15.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Pickin Sea Glass 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Future Perfect 4.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Peja Du 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Class Wizard 10.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Pico d’Oro 2.50 5.4 10-1
4 4 Declaration Time 6.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Storm Trappe 15.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Wheresthepassion 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 G’s Fireball 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Harmonizing 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Cloudy Night 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Independent 3.50 7.1 13-1
1 1 Valley Star 8.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Skip Thru Da Fire 50.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Cluck Cluck 20.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Confluence Lassie 20.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Very Sure 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Way too Early 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Duchess of Destin 10.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Krone 15.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Magic in the Park 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Origami Girl 3.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Apple Shake Shake 6.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Storm Creed 50.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Keep It Sweet 30.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Meow Meow Hiss 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Joya Del Sur 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Blame Catalaya 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Ladro Di Fichi 8.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Cocktail Dreaming 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Need a Marker 30.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Lola Flo 12.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Voodoo Mama Juju 15.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Mysisternancy 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Arius 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Dats My Pharaoh 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Roundtop 2.00 4 8-1
10 10 Sasse’s Class 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 St James the Great 8.00 5.1 10-1
13 13 Goodbye Note 15.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Mister Agent 30.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Cesnola 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 D Majestical 4.50 7.8 15-1
12 12 Neil to the King 15.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Neat 10.00 9.5 18-1
4 4 Legendary Phantom 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mortal Sin 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 City Leader 3.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Grand Kingdom 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Regalo 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Federal Offense 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Long Live Now 8.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 I Run 10.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Sway’sinmydna 12.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Votethemallout 6.00 3 6-1
10 10 Mineola Mike 10.00 3 6-1
2 2 Alottacents 1.60 3.6 7-1
9 9 Moon Sign 30.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Improper 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Spiritual Ghost 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Opposites Attract 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Jolly by Golly 3.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Crossland 30.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Victors Valiant 15.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Sheriff Ronnie 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Bassanio (GB) 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Wicked Secret 10.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Happy Cat 4.50 6.9 13-1
11 11 Wired In 15.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Storming Chrome 2.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Wrecking Ball 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Malibu Rumble 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mister Abarrio 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Brasstown 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Paradise Pride 1.20 1.7 3-1
8 8 Hanalei’s Houdini 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Charge to Victory 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Oxide 15.00 3 6-1
5 5 Shoot Themessenger 15.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Bahama Channel 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Ace Nine Nine 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Touch Code 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Girls House 15.00 1 2-1
10 10 Patria 3.50 2.4 4-1
7 7 Gift of Gab 10.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Morgs World 4.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Mollie Tapper 10.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Clouds of White 5.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Comedy Act 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Lady Serenity 15.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 New Rome 10.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Sweet Shugs 8.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Everlys Girl 1.40 SCRATCH
13 13 Gatita Suave 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Organized Chaos 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 One Way Farrior 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Minimo 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Nancy Made My Day 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Thename of Thegame 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Aves Makin’ Waves 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 R B Took the Odds 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Buckin’ Dreamer 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Cuchulain 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Count Daddy 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.