Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Potito 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Mr. Dreamcycle 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Mr. Suds 3.00 5 9-1
5 5 Going Mobile 2.50 5.2 10-1
6 6 Havoc 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Gentlemen’s Club 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Signofthecross 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Mike Operator 2.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Economical 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Warrens Candy Man 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Mendez Mile 5.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Tembo 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hennys Crazy Train 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Spoiled Rotten 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Kuora (PER) 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Whistler’s Style 2.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Pens Street 2.50 5.9 11-1
6 6 Classymademoiselle 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Good Juju 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Settecento 2.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Heir (FR) 10.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Zimba Warrior 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Big Buzz 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 My Indy 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Man O Rose 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 More Try 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Antibes 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Hill Sixteen 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 On the Whim 4.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Glorious Life 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Seaboard 30.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Smiling Ruler 20.00 5 9-1
7 7 City of Angels 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Park City 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Bright Leaf 2.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Elevado 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Afjan 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Low Expectations 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Oh Great (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Immelmann 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Nestucka 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Gantry 10.00 3 6-1
2 2 Just a Guess 6.00 4 8-1
9 9 Helen’s Sun 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Light Dragoon 5.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Long Jacket 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Fleet Brotato 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 High King 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Anoakia S.) – Anoakia S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dua 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Tambo 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Becky’s Dream (FR) 2.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Sandy Bottom 2.50 4.5 8-1
2 2 Cheeky Gal 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Nysos 0 0-1
10 9 E J Won the Cup 4.00 1 2-1
3 2 Nysos 3.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 British Isles 4.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Tracker 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Urban Legend 4.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 De’ Medici 8.00 5.6 11-1
11 10 Colorado Cruiser 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 3 Better Than Gold 8.00 6.1 12-1
9 8 Mischief Moments 30.00 7 13-1
7 6 Citadino 50.00 8.1 15-1
2 98 Midnight Love 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.