Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hayek 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Destiny Ro 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Stormy Dilemma 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Good Bye New York 20.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Powaqa 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Pennyjet 3.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Spirit Bear 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Princessonamission 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Good News Money 2.50 1.3 3-1
5 5 Mardene 8.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Mrs. C 6.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Cinnamon Bits 20.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Tag Team 2.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Money Beets 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Novel 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Momunnyfor Ro 3.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Sweet Charlize 20.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Mrs. Hot Shot 12.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Ryo Amazing 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Mrs. Benjamin 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Mo’s Vino Mesa 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Little Teddy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Michele M. 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Livin On Luv 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Gamble’s Orb 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Hot Cargo 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Souper Sinclair 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Olympic Fencer 15.00 5 10-1
2 2 Grace On the Green 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Anam Cara 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Logistics 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Catch the Drift 2.50 6.1 11-1
4 4 Flashinthesky 3.00 7 13-1
3 3 Master Aragorn 6.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Kikitsa 8.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Kimberlina 10.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Daisycrest 20.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Birch Bark 15.00 8.7 17-1
7 7 Mitole Power 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 She Makes a Point 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Seattle Causeway 10.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Silent Sky 2.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Delphia 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Foxy Diva 4.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Inscrutable 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Moral Turpitude 20.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Vivid Vixen 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Queen Gypsy 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Well Actually 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 War Vow 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Neolithic Nation 20.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Cantho 10.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Cherry Gardens 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Shameless Affair 6.00 3 6-1
11 11 Centenary 4.50 3.6 7-1
10 10 Moonbright 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Gunnawin 20.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Peace in Paradise 10.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Ghostly Perfection 3.50 6.6 13-1
2 2 Motorin’ Maggie 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Verdejo 20.00 1 2-1
8 8 Ambassador Luna 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Mrs. Green 3.50 2.4 4-1
10 10 Owen’s Tour Guide 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Hai Bobbi 20.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 A Game 4.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Gloriannia 8.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Sacred Dancer 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Lady Moonshine 12.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Pioneer’s Edge 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Ontario Derby) – Ontario Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Touch’n Ride 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Velocitor 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Stanley House 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Twin City 20.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Cool Kiss 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 American Blaze 20.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Solo Album 4.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Twowaycrossing 20.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Forever Dixie 3.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Souper Blessing 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Happy Valentine 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Scottish Symphony 2.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Broadway Force 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Princessofthenorth 3.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Too Much Vino 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Kavala 20.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Tavaline 6.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Jokes Up 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Master Spy 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Tricky Magician 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Crafty Conquest 8.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Grand Alliance 12.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Neophyte 3.00 3 6-1
10 10 Shakoo Makoo 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Chancel 15.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Alicia’s Kid 10.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Commander Tom 12.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Tomcat Black 20.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Executive Sight 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.