Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 22, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Retail Man 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Swept 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Goldfire 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Ice the Kicker 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Rob the Bank 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Dunedin Causeway 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Charles J 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Just Call Ray 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Higher Quality 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Six Percent 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Bold Victory 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Tommy Bee 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Treasure Trove 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Invisible War 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bourbon’s Hope 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Mr Phil 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Mister J T 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Ensign Parker 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Quickflash 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Striking Speed 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Blake B. 30.00 8 15-1
3 3 Winning Drive 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Prince James 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Duke of Gloucester 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Collect From Ike 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Timo 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Assertive Attitude 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Bolt d’Plata 3.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Braggadocious 4.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Fire Baron 30.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Sixwillberich 6.00 7 13-1
6 6 The Elusive Drwong 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Lisa’s Vision 12.00 1 2-1
13 13 She Caught My Eye 2.50 1.1 2-1
12 12 Libban 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 1 Sister Bridget (IRE) 30.00 4 8-1
2B 15 Thought Experiment 3.50 4.3 8-1
11 11 Royal Dame 20.00 5.2 10-1
9 8 Swoop to Finish 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Diamond Hands 5.00 SCRATCH
1 6 Stephanie’s Charm 20.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Rhiannon 1.60 SCRATCH
1A 14 Adeliese’s Smile 20.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Feathers (IRE) 30.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Alluring Angel (GB) 10.00 SCRATCH
2 9 Startup Mentality (IRE) 3.50 SCRATCH
4 2 In Time (FR) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Everlys Girl 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Proud Foot 6.00 1.1 2-1
1 3 Howzyourcashflow 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 2 Solib 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Roja Ligera 30.00 3.6 7-1
8 9 Cupids Girl 5.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Diamond Collector 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Western Lane 3.50 SCRATCH
1A 8 Try It Again 4.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Kisses for Emily 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Daufuskie Island 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Awesome Native 1.60 1.7 3-1
3 3 Kool Kathmandu 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Pay Zone 15.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Capone 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Leddy 30.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Bezos 30.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Shaky Pants 4.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Carle Place S.) – Carle Place S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Super Chow 1.80 1 2-1
10 10 Sir Lancelot 5.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Just Beat the Odds 12.00 4.6 9-1
13 13 Ninetyprcentmaddie 3.00 6 11-1
1 1 Acoustic Ave 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Vacation Dance 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Son of a Birch 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bal a Kazoo 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Freedom Road 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Listentothemusic 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Gaslight Dancer 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Tappin Josie 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Souzak (FR) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Carol T 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Dolomite 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Love Thyself 30.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Munny Grab 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Mia Nipotina 20.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Miss Lao 8.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Mel’s Baby Sister 10.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Collect the Data 5.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Scarlet’s Dream 15.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 New York Beach 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Empire Magic 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.