Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 22, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lieutenant Stan 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lost City 4.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Gotta Like Him 3.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Inspired Mischief 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Can’t Be Broken 15.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Peach Nectar 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 D Coldest 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Anthony’s Rocket 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 On the Dot 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Arduous 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Madness 5.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Ernestina 4.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Tungara 8.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Miss Cassidy 12.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Problematica 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Get Frosty 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Here’s the Kicker 4.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Warda 3.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Lincoln Park 4.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Grand Lady Mo 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Cart Girl Sam 6.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Nobatia 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Harry’s Onthefly 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Takecareofbusiness 6.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Rolling On 1.80 1.5 3-1
2 2 Bella Future 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Sterling Harmony 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Exchange Day 6.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Skipperini 20.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Luna West 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rule It 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Travel Guide 12.00 1.5 3-1
11 11 Gustav 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Blue Soldier 20.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Awesome City 3.50 2.8 5-1
9 9 Paradise Drive 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Kadar Indy 15.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Muchomachomac 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Gingersnap Jack 20.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Good Bump 30.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Brooklyn Dreams 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Atomically 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Pacific Princess 3.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Seduction 4.00 1.3 3-1
8 8 Hihellohowareyou 5.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 I Believe in Magic 10.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Silvia V’s Heroes 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Miss Ucrania 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Cami Runner 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 He’s a Commisioner 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 No More Time 3.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Break Out 6.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Dollar Liberty 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Real Macho 4.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Ice Moon 4.50 5.4 10-1
4 4 Bee a Sky Beam 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Exclusive Dancer 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Todo Fino (CHI) 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Khozeiress 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Avant Glory 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Zydeceaux 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Cattin 4.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Gangly 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Real Talk 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Unprecedented 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Marley Luck 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Barone Cesco 8.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Lucago 6.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Ubiquitous 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Devils Only Friend 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Thenorthremembers 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Allegedly Perfect 30.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Earth 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.