Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Midnite Lumberjack | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Title Contender | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Town Hall | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | This Time Blue | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stone Harbor | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tis Charming | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | T B Twelve Always | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Footprint | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| Stone Harbor | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sassy Walker | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Colette’s Joy | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flashy Lass | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Medaglia Forever | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stagflation | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perceptive | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Misintention | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ethical Judgement | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Allege | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Koufax | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devil Vision | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Reds | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Derby Code | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Icarus | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Belle of the Ball | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Teshima | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mamba Out | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mrs. Speaker | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chanel Point | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Birdie Rose | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Insightful Miss | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soulful Tara | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Best Day Ever | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Robo | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Marissa’s Lady | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Top Gun Girl | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carimba | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Goin’ Good | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All That Magic | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Opening Buzz | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Current Climate | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Querobin Dourada | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey and Rye | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Goldstart | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miner’s Queen | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| Carimba | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moreau | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leading Contender | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Aspen | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Redeemer | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Black Rain | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Escapologist | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seeking Unity | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Rood And Riddle Dowager S.) – Rood And Riddle Dowager S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Transient (GB) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Personal Best | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vergara | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Henrietta Topham | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lovely Princess | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Be Up | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Loved Reiko | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Romagna Mia (GB) | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Viva La Red | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Shakin Loose | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ethan Energy | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skelly Road | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Phantom Speed | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Call Protection | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Legalize | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Agoo | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Empire’s Classic | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 15 | 15 | King Anthony | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Linebacker | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Maintain | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mystik Dan | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Manfredi | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Droptop Caddy | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 14 | No Judgment | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Goldentown | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| Manfredi | 17 | 32-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hurricane Debbie | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Mary | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dulcia | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Empire of My Own | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | My Sweet Affair | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just a Care (IRE) | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | D’oro Street | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All I Want Is You | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Firing Bullets | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Up to Something | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Corner Kick | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen of the Mud (IRE) | 3.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Get Twisted | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Devine Charger | 4.50 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jennifer My Love | 12.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Kendal Grace | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.