Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 22, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kiss for Lulu 20.00 1 2-1
9 9 Don’t Hit Me Bash 12.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Western Grit 5.00 2 4-1
8 8 Drive for Show 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Cody Boy 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Tom Seaver 2.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Stagger Lee 4.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Smiling Jojo 3.50 5.2 10-1
10 10 Whiskey Rye 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Beer Money 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Asian Matriarch 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Miss Pixy Stix 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 California Code 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 High Flying Gracie 12.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Sugar Fish 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Secrets Told 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Flame McGoon 4.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Miss Lizzy 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Inner Beauty (IRE) 2.00 2 4-1
3 3 Gypsy Lynn 2.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Vincero Grande 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Big Rainbow 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Bella Vienna 1.80 1.6 3-1
5 5 Jazzy Empress 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Mumbles Brockman 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Coconut Girl 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Easter Coming Back 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 My Moon 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Encolpion 4.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Cute Khloe 20.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Ha Ha Gloria (IRE) 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Sorbet 1.60 3.9 7-1
1 1 She’s Muy Muy 5.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Cy’s Silkstocking 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tiff With Jimmy 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Turquoise Bikini 6.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Miss Commander 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Allocate 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Unkept Secret 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 California Diva 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Devil Moon 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Don’t Swear Dave 3.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Barsabas 20.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Lemon Sushi 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Tigerhon (FR) 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Americaredwhiteblu 2.50 5.1 10-1
10 10 So I’m Told 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Fast Per Se 30.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Club Cal 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 El Oro (FR) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Central Dispatch 0 0-1
6 6 Central Dispatch 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Palagio 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Dazzlemesilver 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Matanzas Creek 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Devilish Desire 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Admiral Halsey 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Castle Island 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Touchdown Kittle 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Maxville 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Chrome to Riches 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Silent Heat 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Dark Marcus 2.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 City of Angels 3.50 4.9 9-1
9 9 Aviator Nation 20.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Toppers Wager 10.00 8 15-1
8 8 Venom 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.