Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thistle | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Predominate | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roan Burgundy | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Notable Exception | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beyond Best | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Beemster | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | DeSantis | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | In Spades | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laytown | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lady Zeta | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Always Mia | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midtown Rose | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cartouche | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peach Perfect | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get Groovy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kilimanjara | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Confirmed Genius | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tara’s Talent | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ava K’s Boy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Jones | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Large | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | About the Multiple | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gimmebackmybullets | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dangnabbit | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Splitzville | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Box of Chocolates | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Legal Deal | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Farm | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baafeed | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Khozan One | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Causes Trouble | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Dangerous Guy | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Manolito | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jeopardy James | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey Prize | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth Motion | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dudley Dickerson | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Phobia | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zoppi Fischbein | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | McMagic | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Son of a Buck | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whoosh | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mad Maxey | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cold Feet | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Dar | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buff Hello | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kingdom | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dance Code | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yo Nessroundonkern | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Professor Kool | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | O’Brien | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Ginuccha | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pure Lure | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gaja Ray | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Brazilian Girl | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Landofhopeandreams | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Boss Lady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Eclair Blanc | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Molly Malone | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Neighbelline | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Steal the Deal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Listen | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Beach Daze | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peachy Weachy | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Emirates Affair | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Madeline’s Grogu | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shero | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sea Maiden | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bucks Some | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Euphima (ARG) | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gold Medal Anna | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Et’s Moon Maiden | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Jump Start S.) – Jump Start S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beren | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth B | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Music | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dollarization | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fore Harp | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | One More Scoop | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jean Valjean | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Prince of Rain | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Veeson | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Word On a Wing | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | John Dutton | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Strawberry Treat | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Good On Ya | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ninetyprcentmaddie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Keithsendshelloooo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fictionalfairytale | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Impetud | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | North Pole | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smarten Up | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Threepete | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior’s Vendetta | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Deplane | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scamp Walker | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Financial Strength | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Book Marker | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Afy Kid | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.